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  1. Senate

Oklahoma Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
2
Chance
Kevin Hern
Republican party
97.6%
▼ 0.4

Kevin Hern

Republican party
97.6%
▼ 0.4
N’Kiyla Thomas
Democratic party
2.4%
▲ 0.4

N’Kiyla Thomas

Democratic party
2.4%
▲ 0.4

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General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
Oklahoma Senate winner?

Kevin Hern

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Thomas
Nov 3 ·R +25.2margin forecast
Hern
$95,430 vol
Race Intel

Oklahoma Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentAlan Armstrong (R)Not seeking re-election

Oklahoma Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Kevin HernR
    $10.8M
    2.0%
    $10.8M raised·2.0% small donors
  • N’Kiyla Jasmine ThomasD
    $107K
    59%
    $107K raised·59% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Oklahoma Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +34.3%2020R +33.1%

More Oklahoma and 2026 Midterm Races

More Oklahoma races

Oklahoma Governor race: Mazzei vs. Munson

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 Senate forecast

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