Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive158AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE158
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
Series Image
  1. Senate

Tennessee Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party


Chance

Bill Hagerty
Republican party
97.9%
▲ 0.5

Bill Hagerty

Republican party
97.9%
▲ 0.5

Marquita Bradshaw
Democratic party
2.1%
▼ 0.5

Marquita Bradshaw

Democratic party
2.1%
▼ 0.5

People are also trading
Series Image
Florida Senate winner?
Series Image
Tennessee Senate margin of victory
Series Image
Tennessee Senate General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
Tennessee Governor winner?
Series Image
TN-09 House winner?
Series Image
TN-05 House winner?
Series Image
TN-02 House winner?
Series Image
TN-01 House winner?
Series Image
How many House seats will Democrats win in Tennessee?
Series Image
TN-07 House winner?
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
Tennessee Senate winner?

Bill Hagerty

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Bradshaw
Nov 3 ·R +20.0margin forecast
Hagerty
$587,828 vol
Race Intel

Tennessee Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentBill Hagerty (R)Running for re-election

Tennessee Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Bill HagertyR
    $8.2M
    13%
    $8.2M raised·13% small donors
  • Marquita BradshawD
    $2,257
    89%
    $2,257 raised·89% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Tennessee Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +29.7%2020R +23.2%

More Tennessee and 2026 Midterm Races

More Tennessee races

Tennessee Governor race: Blackburn vs. GreenTN-09 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 Senate forecast

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Turek vs. HinsonKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Rhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKayArkansas Governor race: Sanders vs. LoveOregon Senate race: Merkley vs. SmithWyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. ByrdHawaii Governor race: Green vs. CorderyAlabama Senate race: Moore vs. WessIdaho Governor race: Little vs. PickensSouth Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. AhlersWyoming Governor race: Barlow vs. CasnerNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. Blakeman