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  5. Playoff Odds

NFL Playoff Odds 2026

The market-implied chance of all 32 teams to make the NFL playoffs in the 2026 season, from Kalshi's 2026 NFL playoff qualifiers market. Traders give Buffalo Bills 96%, San Francisco 49ers 94% and Jacksonville Jaguars 93%.
Live marketUpdated today at 12:08 PM ET
Where these odds come from: Each figure is the market price of that team’s contract — the mid-market quote where the book is tight, otherwise the last trade. Prices are not a forecast from Kalshi; they are what traders are paying.
Live market prices

2026 NFL playoff odds by team

2026 NFL playoff odds by team
TeamPlayoffs7dTrade
1Buffalo Bills96%+5ppYes 96¢
2San Francisco 49ers94%−2ppYes 94¢
3Jacksonville Jaguars93%+8ppYes 93¢
4Denver Broncos87%+10ppYes 88¢
5Kansas City Chiefs85%−4ppYes 86¢
6Chicago Bears84%+10ppYes 84¢
7Cincinnati Bengals83%+3ppYes 83¢
8New England Patriots77%+8ppYes 78¢
9Detroit Lions74%+1ppYes 74¢
10Pittsburgh Steelers74%+23ppYes 74¢
11Minnesota Vikings71%−12ppYes 71¢
12New York Giants59%+15ppYes 59¢
13Green Bay Packers55%+8ppYes 55¢
14Seattle Seahawks54%−16ppYes 55¢
15Los Angeles Rams54%+2ppYes 54¢
16Tampa Bay Buccaneers36%+12ppYes 36¢
17Carolina Panthers35%−3ppYes 35¢
18Houston Texans35%+5ppYes 35¢
19Cleveland Browns34%−4ppYes 34¢
20Dallas Cowboys32%−19ppYes 32¢
21Atlanta Falcons25%−10ppYes 26¢
22New Orleans Saints21%+7ppYes 21¢
23Las Vegas Raiders20%+5ppYes 20¢
24Washington Commanders18%+2ppYes 18¢
25Baltimore Ravens15%−49ppYes 15¢
26Arizona Cardinals7%+6ppYes 7¢
27Philadelphia Eagles7%−1ppYes 7¢
28New York Jets4%−1ppYes 4¢
29Indianapolis Colts2%−4ppYes 2¢
30Tennessee Titans2%0ppYes 3¢
31Los Angeles Chargers1%−1ppYes 2¢
32Miami Dolphins1%−1ppYes 2¢
Method

How to read these NFL playoff odds

Every figure here is a live Kalshi price. Each team’s contract pays $1 if it makes the field and nothing if it doesn’t, so its price in cents reads as the percent chance traders give it.Fourteen teams make the NFL playoffs, seven from each conference: the four division winners and three wild cards.The board is ordered by that price, using the exact quote rather than the rounded figure shown, so two teams a hundredth of a point apart don’t swap places between refreshes.Each contract settles under its own market rules, which the market page links. Every row’s last column opens that market.
FAQ

NFL Playoff Odds questions

Which teams are most likely to make the NFL playoffs in the 2026 season?
Kalshi traders give Buffalo Bills 96%, San Francisco 49ers 94% and Jacksonville Jaguars 93% to make the NFL playoffs. Those are market prices, not Kalshi forecasts.
How many teams make the NFL playoffs?
Fourteen, seven from each conference: the four division winners and three wild cards.
How are these NFL playoff odds calculated?
They are not calculated — they are prices. Each team’s contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and nothing if it doesn’t, so what traders pay for it reads as a percent chance. Where the bid and ask are close the page shows the midpoint; otherwise it shows the last trade.
Related NFL pages

Continue exploring

The market these odds are read from, and the rest of Kalshi's coverage.
Trade the NFL Playoff Qualifiers marketNFL playoff pictureNFL playoff bracketSuper Bowl oddsNFL power rankingsNFL standingsNFL matchupsAll NFL markets
Team hubs

All 32 NFL teams

Every team's own page: markets, record, roster, schedule and playoff odds.
  • Arizona Cardinals
  • Atlanta Falcons
  • Baltimore Ravens
  • Buffalo Bills
  • Carolina Panthers
  • Chicago Bears
  • Cincinnati Bengals
  • Cleveland Browns
  • Dallas Cowboys
  • Denver Broncos
  • Detroit Lions
  • Green Bay Packers
  • Houston Texans
  • Indianapolis Colts
  • Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Kansas City Chiefs
  • Las Vegas Raiders
  • Los Angeles Chargers
  • Los Angeles Rams
  • Miami Dolphins
  • Minnesota Vikings
  • New England Patriots
  • New Orleans Saints
  • New York Giants
  • New York Jets
  • Philadelphia Eagles
  • Pittsburgh Steelers
  • San Francisco 49ers
  • Seattle Seahawks
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Tennessee Titans
  • Washington Commanders
NFL playoff qualifiers market

NFL Playoff Qualifiers

Buy Yes if you think the team makes the playoffs. Buy No if you think it won't.
  • Buffalo Bills96%
    Yes 96¢No 5¢
  • San Francisco 49ers94%
    Yes 94¢No 7¢
  • Jacksonville Jaguars93%
    Yes 93¢No 8¢
  • Denver Broncos87%
    Yes 88¢No 15¢
  • Kansas City Chiefs85%
    Yes 86¢No 16¢
    • Chicago Bears84%
      Yes 84¢No 17¢
    • Cincinnati Bengals83%
      Yes 83¢No 18¢
    • New England Patriots77%
      Yes 78¢No 24¢
    • Detroit Lions74%
      Yes 74¢No 27¢
    • Pittsburgh Steelers74%
      Yes 74¢No 27¢
    • Minnesota Vikings71%
      Yes 71¢No 30¢
    • New York Giants59%
      Yes 59¢No 42¢
    • Green Bay Packers55%
      Yes 55¢No 46¢
    • Seattle Seahawks54%
      Yes 55¢No 47¢
    • Los Angeles Rams54%
      Yes 54¢No 47¢
    • Tampa Bay Buccaneers36%
      Yes 36¢No 65¢
    • Carolina Panthers35%
      Yes 35¢No 66¢
    • Houston Texans35%
      Yes 35¢No 66¢
    • Cleveland Browns34%
      Yes 34¢No 67¢
    • Dallas Cowboys32%
      Yes 32¢No 69¢
    • Atlanta Falcons25%
      Yes 26¢No 76¢
    • New Orleans Saints21%
      Yes 21¢No 80¢
    • Las Vegas Raiders20%
      Yes 20¢No 81¢
    • Washington Commanders18%
      Yes 18¢No 83¢
    • Baltimore Ravens15%
      Yes 15¢No 86¢
    • Arizona Cardinals7%
      Yes 7¢No 94¢
    • Philadelphia Eagles7%
      Yes 7¢No 94¢
    • New York Jets4%
      Yes 4¢No 97¢
    • Indianapolis Colts2%
      Yes 2¢No 99¢
    • Tennessee Titans2%
      Yes 3¢No
    • Los Angeles Chargers1%
      Yes 2¢No
    • Miami Dolphins1%
      Yes 2¢No