NFL Playoff Picture
The Week 2 playoff picture combines the league's current conference seeding with Kalshi's market-implied chance that each team makes the postseason.
Regular season · Week 3Updated Thursday, Sep 24, 2026 · 9:18 PM ET
Seeding: Seeds are the league's own conference seeding through Week 2: division leaders hold 1–4 and the next three conference records hold 5–7, tiebroken by the NFL's own procedures. Kalshi prices are shown beside the field, not used to order it.
Current fieldThe seven-team cutoff shows who is currently in the field. Every remaining team stays visible below it.
2026 NFL Playoff Picture After Week 2
AFC playoff picture
16 teams · 7 playoff positions| Pos. | Team | 2026 record | Division | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas City Chiefs | 2-0 | 1st · AFC West | Division leader |
| 2 | Buffalo Bills | 2-0 | 1st · AFC East | Division leader |
| 3 | Cincinnati Bengals | 2-0 | 1st · AFC North | Division leader |
| 4 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 1-1 | 1st · AFC South | Division leader |
| 5 | Las Vegas Raiders | 2-0 | 2nd · AFC West | Wild card |
| 6 | New England Patriots | 1-1 | 2nd · AFC East | Wild card |
| 7 | New York Jets | 1-1 | 3rd · AFC East | Wild card |
| 8 | Baltimore Ravens | 1-1 | 2nd · AFC North | First team out |
| 9 | Denver Broncos | 1-1 | 3rd · AFC West | Outside playoff field |
| 10 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 1-1 | 3rd · AFC North | Outside playoff field |
| 11 | Cleveland Browns | 1-1 | 4th · AFC North | Outside playoff field |
| 12 | Miami Dolphins | 0-2 | 4th · AFC East | Outside playoff field |
| 13 | Tennessee Titans | 0-2 | 2nd · AFC South | Outside playoff field |
| 14 | Los Angeles Chargers | 0-2 | 4th · AFC West | Outside playoff field |
| 15 | Houston Texans | 0-2 | 3rd · AFC South | Outside playoff field |
| 16 | Indianapolis Colts | 0-2 | 4th · AFC South | Outside playoff field |
- Playoff field
- First team out
- Outside field
NFC playoff picture
16 teams · 7 playoff positions| Pos. | Team | 2026 record | Division | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Vikings | 2-0 | 1st · NFC North | Division leader |
| 2 | Seattle Seahawks | 2-0 | 1st · NFC West | Division leader |
| 3 | Philadelphia Eagles | 2-0 | 1st · NFC East | Division leader |
| 4 | Carolina Panthers | 1-1 | 1st · NFC South | Division leader |
| 5 | San Francisco 49ers | 2-0 | 2nd · NFC West | Wild card |
| 6 | Detroit Lions | 1-1 | 2nd · NFC North | Wild card |
| 7 | Chicago Bears | 1-1 | 3rd · NFC North | Wild card |
| 8 | Los Angeles Rams | 1-1 | 3rd · NFC West | First team out |
| 9 | New York Giants | 1-1 | 2nd · NFC East | Outside playoff field |
| 10 | Dallas Cowboys | 1-1 | 3rd · NFC East | Outside playoff field |
| 11 | Green Bay Packers | 1-1 | 4th · NFC North | Outside playoff field |
| 12 | New Orleans Saints | 1-1 | 2nd · NFC South | Outside playoff field |
| 13 | Arizona Cardinals | 1-1 | 4th · NFC West | Outside playoff field |
| 14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0-2 | 3rd · NFC South | Outside playoff field |
| 15 | Atlanta Falcons | 0-2 | 4th · NFC South | Outside playoff field |
| 16 | Washington Commanders | 0-2 | 4th · NFC East | Outside playoff field |
- Playoff field
- First team out
- Outside field
Kalshi market viewSee the latest make-the-playoffs prices and seven-day movement. Expand any row to open that team's Kalshi markets.
Market-implied playoff odds
AFC markets
| Team | 2026 record | Playoff odds | 7d change | Source | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 2-0 | 83% | +6pp | Trade | |
| Buffalo Bills | 2-0 | 91% | +9pp | Trade | |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 2-0 | 82% | +14pp | Trade | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 1-1 | 60% | 0pp | Trade | |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2-0 | 32% | +13pp | Trade | |
| New England Patriots | 1-1 | 62% | +5pp | Trade | |
| New York Jets | 1-1 | 18% | −2pp | Trade | |
| Baltimore Ravens | 1-1 | 78% | −1pp | Trade | |
| Denver Broncos | 1-1 | 60% | +9pp | Trade | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1-1 | 27% | −13pp | Trade | |
| Cleveland Browns | 1-1 | 10% | +7pp | Trade | |
| Miami Dolphins | 0-2 | 2% | −2pp | Trade | |
| Tennessee Titans | 0-2 | 3% | −4pp | Trade | |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0-2 | 20% | −24pp | Trade | |
| Houston Texans | 0-2 | 53% | −8pp | Trade | |
| Indianapolis Colts | 0-2 | 27% | −2pp | Trade | |
NFC markets
| Team | 2026 record | Playoff odds | 7d change | Source | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Vikings | 2-0 | 62% | +14pp | Trade | |
| Seattle Seahawks | 2-0 | 76% | +7pp | Trade | |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2-0 | 77% | +7pp | Trade | |
| Carolina Panthers | 1-1 | 35% | +9pp | Trade | |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2-0 | 79% | +10pp | Trade | |
| Detroit Lions | 1-1 | 63% | +12pp | Trade | |
| Chicago Bears | 1-1 | 42% | −17pp | Trade | |
| Los Angeles Rams | 1-1 | 73% | +2pp | Trade | |
| New York Giants | 1-1 | 18% | −23pp | Trade | |
| Dallas Cowboys | 1-1 | 48% | +8pp | Trade | |
| Green Bay Packers | 1-1 | 33% | −9pp | Trade | |
| New Orleans Saints | 1-1 | 55% | +19pp | Trade | |
| Arizona Cardinals | 1-1 | 7% | −3pp | Trade | |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0-2 | 29% | −17pp | Trade | |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0-2 | 12% | −7pp | Trade | |
| Washington Commanders | 0-2 | 8% | −14pp | Trade | |
How it works
How to read the NFL playoff picture
Seven teams from each conference make the NFL playoffs: four division winners and three wild cards. The highest-seeded team receives a first-round bye, while seeds two through seven form the opening-round matchups. The yellow line after seed seven separates the playoff field from the rest of the conference.Once games have been played the field is the league's own seeding rather than a forecast: division leaders hold the top four seeds, the next three conference records hold the wild cards, and ties are broken by the NFL's own procedures. Kalshi's prices sit beside that field rather than deciding it.Prices can move before the standings do. The field and the Kalshi probabilities are shown separately so a team's current position and its chance of actually making the playoffs can be compared side by side.
FAQ
NFL playoff picture questions
How many NFL teams make the playoffs?
Fourteen teams make the postseason: seven from the AFC and seven from the NFC. Each conference sends four division winners and three wild-card teams. The top seed in each conference receives a first-round bye.
How are NFL playoff seeds determined?
Division winners take seeds one through four, ordered by record and the NFL's tiebreaking procedures. The next three best conference records receive wild-card seeds five through seven. Kalshi prices do not change official seeding — the field above is the league’s own order, with the market’s probabilities beside it.
What does the preseason playoff picture show?
Before current-season standings exist, Kalshi's division-title prices identify the projected division winners, market-implied win totals order those four teams, and make-the-playoffs prices select and rank the projected wild cards. Every remaining team is listed in market order below the cutoff.
What does 'first team out' mean?
The first team out is the highest-ranked team immediately below the last playoff position. On this page it is the next team in the league’s conference seeding; where the field is projected instead, it is the next team in the market-implied order.
How often do Kalshi playoff odds update?
The odds on this page refresh as the underlying Kalshi market prices change, and the field follows the league's standings as games settle. The latest update time appears at the top of the page — currently Thursday, Sep 24, 2026 · 9:18 PM ET.
Team hubsExplore the latest markets and forecasts for all 32 teams.
Every team in the playoff picture
- Arizona Cardinals
- Atlanta Falcons
- Baltimore Ravens
- Buffalo Bills
- Carolina Panthers
- Chicago Bears
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Cleveland Browns
- Dallas Cowboys
- Denver Broncos
- Detroit Lions
- Green Bay Packers
- Houston Texans
- Indianapolis Colts
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Kansas City Chiefs
- Las Vegas Raiders
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Los Angeles Rams
- Miami Dolphins
- Minnesota Vikings
- New England Patriots
- New Orleans Saints
- New York Giants
- New York Jets
- Philadelphia Eagles
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- San Francisco 49ers
- Seattle Seahawks
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Tennessee Titans
- Washington Commanders