NFL Playoff Picture

A preseason view of the 2026 NFL playoff field built from Kalshi's division-title, win-total and make-the-playoffs markets. Every team stays visible, so the page answers who is projected in, who is first out, and where the rest of each conference stands.

Preseason projectionUpdated Thursday, Sep 3, 2026 · 2:27 PM ET

Projection method: Projected division winners are taken from Kalshi's division-title prices. Market-implied win totals order seeds 1–4; make-the-playoffs prices fill the wild-card positions and rank the rest of each conference.

Current field

Projected 2026 NFL Playoff Picture

The seven-team cutoff shows who is currently projected in. Every remaining team stays visible below it.

AFC playoff picture

16 teams · 7 playoff positions

Projected AFC playoff seeding, with each team's 2025 record, division position and playoff status. The top 7 positions are the playoff field.
Pos.	Team	2025 record	Division	Status
1	Buffalo Bills	12-5	AFC East	Projected division winner
2	Baltimore Ravens	8-9	AFC North	Projected division winner
3	Houston Texans	12-5	AFC South	Projected division winner
4	Kansas City Chiefs	6-11	AFC West	Projected division winner
5	Cincinnati Bengals	6-11	AFC North	Projected wild card
6	New England Patriots	14-3	AFC East	Projected wild card
7	Los Angeles Chargers	11-6	AFC West	Projected wild card
8	Denver Broncos	14-3	AFC West	First team out
9	Jacksonville Jaguars	13-4	AFC South	Outside projected field
10	Indianapolis Colts	8-9	AFC South	Outside projected field
11	Pittsburgh Steelers	10-7	AFC North	Outside projected field
12	Tennessee Titans	3-14	AFC South	Outside projected field
13	Las Vegas Raiders	3-14	AFC West	Outside projected field
14	Cleveland Browns	5-12	AFC North	Outside projected field
15	New York Jets	3-14	AFC East	Outside projected field
16	Miami Dolphins	7-10	AFC East	Outside projected field

Projected field
First team out
Outside projection

NFC playoff picture

16 teams · 7 playoff positions

Projected NFC playoff seeding, with each team's 2025 record, division position and playoff status. The top 7 positions are the playoff field.
Pos.	Team	2025 record	Division	Status
1	Los Angeles Rams	12-5	NFC West	Projected division winner
2	Detroit Lions	9-8	NFC North	Projected division winner
3	Philadelphia Eagles	11-6	NFC East	Projected division winner
4	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	8-9	NFC South	Projected division winner
5	Seattle Seahawks	14-3	NFC West	Projected wild card
6	San Francisco 49ers	12-5	NFC West	Projected wild card
7	Dallas Cowboys	7-9-1	NFC East	Projected wild card
8	Green Bay Packers	9-7-1	NFC North	First team out
9	Chicago Bears	11-6	NFC North	Outside projected field
10	Minnesota Vikings	9-8	NFC North	Outside projected field
11	New Orleans Saints	6-11	NFC South	Outside projected field
12	Carolina Panthers	8-9	NFC South	Outside projected field
13	New York Giants	4-13	NFC East	Outside projected field
14	Atlanta Falcons	8-9	NFC South	Outside projected field
15	Washington Commanders	5-12	NFC East	Outside projected field
16	Arizona Cardinals	3-14	NFC West	Outside projected field

Projected field
First team out
Outside projection

Kalshi market view

Market-implied playoff odds

See the latest make-the-playoffs prices and seven-day movement. Expand any row to open that team's Kalshi markets.

AFC markets

Kalshi make-the-playoffs prices for every AFC team, with the seven-day move and the markets behind each number.
Team	2025 record	Playoff odds	7d change	Trade
Buffalo Bills	12-5	76%	+1pp	Trade

Baltimore Ravens	8-9	75%	0pp	Trade

Houston Texans	12-5	64%	−2pp	Trade

Kansas City Chiefs	6-11	63%	−2pp	Trade

Cincinnati Bengals	6-11	64%	−2pp	Trade

New England Patriots	14-3	63%	−5pp	Trade

Los Angeles Chargers	11-6	61%	−1pp	Trade

Denver Broncos	14-3	60%	0pp	Trade

Jacksonville Jaguars	13-4	51%	0pp	Trade

Indianapolis Colts	8-9	37%	+2pp	Trade

Pittsburgh Steelers	10-7	36%	−2pp	Trade

Tennessee Titans	3-14	18%	−1pp	Trade

Las Vegas Raiders	3-14	15%	−4pp	Trade

Cleveland Browns	5-12	13%	−1pp	Trade

New York Jets	3-14	12%	0pp	Trade

Miami Dolphins	7-10	6%	0pp	Trade

NFC markets

Kalshi make-the-playoffs prices for every NFC team, with the seven-day move and the markets behind each number.
Team	2025 record	Playoff odds	7d change	Trade
Los Angeles Rams	12-5	80%	+2pp	Trade

Detroit Lions	9-8	67%	0pp	Trade

Philadelphia Eagles	11-6	61%	−2pp	Trade

Tampa Bay Buccaneers	8-9	43%	0pp	Trade

Seattle Seahawks	14-3	67%	−2pp	Trade

San Francisco 49ers	12-5	55%	+1pp	Trade

Dallas Cowboys	7-9-1	54%	0pp	Trade

Green Bay Packers	9-7-1	54%	0pp	Trade

Chicago Bears	11-6	50%	−2pp	Trade

Minnesota Vikings	9-8	43%	0pp	Trade

New Orleans Saints	6-11	35%	0pp	Trade

Carolina Panthers	8-9	29%	−2pp	Trade

New York Giants	4-13	28%	−1pp	Trade

Atlanta Falcons	8-9	27%	0pp	Trade

Washington Commanders	5-12	27%	+2pp	Trade

Arizona Cardinals	3-14	5%	0pp	Trade

How it works

How to read the NFL playoff picture

Seven teams from each conference make the NFL playoffs: four division winners and three wild cards. The highest-seeded team receives a first-round bye, while seeds two through seven form the opening-round matchups. The yellow line after seed seven separates the projected playoff field from the rest of the conference.Before Week 1 there are no standings to seed from, so this view starts with the favorite in each division-title market, orders those four projected winners by market-implied win total, and fills the wild-card positions from the make-the-playoffs prices. The rest of each conference stays on the page, so the first team out and the full market order are both visible.Prices can move before the standings do. The field and the Kalshi probabilities are shown separately so a team's current position and its chance of actually making the playoffs can be compared side by side.

FAQ

NFL playoff picture questions

How many NFL teams make the playoffs?

Fourteen teams make the postseason: seven from the AFC and seven from the NFC. Each conference sends four division winners and three wild-card teams. The top seed in each conference receives a first-round bye.

How are NFL playoff seeds determined?

Division winners take seeds one through four, ordered by record and the NFL's tiebreaking procedures. The next three best conference records receive wild-card seeds five through seven. Kalshi prices do not change official seeding — the field above is currently ordered from market prices, and switches to the league’s own order as soon as the standings supply one.

What does the preseason playoff picture show?

Before current-season standings exist, Kalshi's division-title prices identify the projected division winners, market-implied win totals order those four teams, and make-the-playoffs prices select and rank the projected wild cards. Every remaining team is listed in market order below the cutoff.

What does 'first team out' mean?

The first team out is the highest-ranked team immediately below the last playoff position. On this page it is the next team in the market-implied projection; once the league’s seeding is available it is the next team in that order.

How often do Kalshi playoff odds update?

The odds on this page refresh as the underlying Kalshi market prices change, and the field follows the league's standings as games settle. The latest update time appears at the top of the page — currently Thursday, Sep 3, 2026 · 2:27 PM ET.

Team hubs

Every team in the playoff picture

Explore the latest markets and forecasts for all 32 teams.

NFL Playoff Picture

Preseason projectionUpdated Thursday, Sep 3, 2026 · 2:27 PM ET

Current field