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Tech & Science
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Yes
2.81
x
34
%
No
1.46
x
66
%
$11,865 vol
1 market
Space
How many launches will SpaceX have in January 2026?
Above 10
Yes
Above 12
No
$1,433,590 vol
7 markets
Space
SpaceX Starship 11th launch?
Before October 16
Yes
Before November 1
Yes
$207,109 vol
3 markets
Tech & Science
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2025?
4 to 6
Yes
3 or below
No
$91,815 vol
9 markets
Tech & Science
Will Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket reach orbit in 2025?
Yes
No
$51,521 vol
1 market
Space
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch again in 2025?
Yes
No
$50,930 vol
1 market
Tech & Science
Will the upper stage of the SpaceX Starship be recovered intact in 2025?
Yes
No
$32,694 vol
1 market
Tech & Science
Will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida this year?
Yes
No
$23,570 vol
1 market
Tech & Science
Which of these smaller space companies will launch next?
Neutron
No
Rocket 4
No
$15,675 vol
5 markets
Tech & Science
How many non-SpaceX US commercial space launches will there be in 2025?
At least 15
Yes
At least 30
No
$12,542 vol
3 markets
Tech & Science
Will there be a crewed Starship flight this year?
Yes
No
$5,973 vol
1 market
Finance
CEOs
New Boeing CEO in 2025?
Yes
No
$75,022 vol
1 market
M&A
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor this year?
Yes
No
$42,739 vol
1 market
Mentions
Mentions
What will the NASA reps say during the press conference on Artemis II moon launch delay?
Preparation / Prepared
Yes
SpaceX
Yes
$162,846 vol
12 markets
Politics
International
Will Elon Musk visit Outer Space in 2025?
Yes
No
$8,828 vol
1 market
Aerospace Odds & Predictions 2026
Aerospace Odds & Predictions
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