UFC Results
The latest UFC results, as Kalshi’s markets graded them: who won each bout, how, in which round and the winner’s Kalshi price when the card began. Across these 4 cards, the fighter priced higher when the card began won 33 of 50 bouts.
Final resultsUpdated today at 1:17 PM ET
Where these numbers come from: Kalshi prices: KXUFCFIGHT for each bout, KXUFCMOV for the method of victory, KXUFCMOF, KXUFCDISTANCE and KXUFCROUNDS for how it ends. Bout order follows the times the exchange expects each result, main event last. Round and time come from each bout’s fight data; the price at the start is the last trade before the card’s first scheduled bout, from Kalshi’s price history.
OCT 3113 bouts listed, main event first. The fighter Kalshi priced higher when the card began won 9 of 12.
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan (Oct 31) results
| Bout | Winner | Method | Ended | At start |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moicano vs Nolan (Oct 31)Main event | Tom NolanUpset | KO/TKO | R3 1:28 | 47% |
| Brown vs Smith (Oct 31)Co-main | Jacobe Smith | Decision | R3 5:00 | 72% |
| Osbourne vs Durden (Oct 31)Bout 3 | Cody Durden | Decision | R3 5:00 | 52% |
| Santos vs Santos (Oct 31)Bout 4 | Luana Santos | Decision | R3 5:00 | 75% |
| Lebosnoyani vs Hasanov (Oct 31)Bout 5 | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | KO/TKO | R3 2:11 | 73% |
| Marshall vs Hope (Oct 31)Bout 6 | Dakota HopeUpset | Decision | R3 5:00 | 35% |
| Bekoev vs Petroski (Oct 31)Bout 7 | Canceled | -- | -- | -- |
| Sezinando vs Berggren (Oct 31)Bout 8 | Rodrigo Sezinando | KO/TKO | R2 5:00 | 64% |
| Erosa vs Lee (Oct 31)Bout 9 | Julian ErosaUpset | KO/TKO | R1 1:31 | 42% |
| Klein vs Kropschot (Oct 31)Bout 10 | Joe Kropschot | Submission | R2 1:25 | 74% |
| de Oliviera Alencar vs Rodriguez (Oct 31)Bout 11 | Piera Rodriguez | Decision | R3 5:00 | 71% |
| Szabova vs Lisboa (Oct 31)Bout 12 | Lucia Szabova | KO/TKO | R3 3:20 | 85% |
| Reese vs Gall (Oct 31)Bout 13 | Zach Reese | Decision | R3 5:00 | 78% |
OCT 2414 bouts listed, main event first. The fighter Kalshi priced higher when the card began won 11 of 14.
UFC 333 results
| Bout | Winner | Method | Ended | At start |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkanovski vs Evloev (Oct 24)Main event | Alex Volkanovski | KO/TKO | R2 4:54 | 51% |
| Yan vs Dvalishvili (Oct 24)Co-main | Petr Yan | Decision | R5 5:00 | 58% |
| Kavanagh vs Temirov (Oct 24)Bout 3 | Loneer Kavanagh | KO/TKO | R1 4:28 | 51% |
| Volkov vs Kuniev (Oct 24)Bout 4 | Alexander Volkov | Decision | R3 5:00 | 55% |
| Murzakanov vs Reyes (Oct 24)Bout 5 | Dominick ReyesUpset | KO/TKO | R1 2:40 | 36% |
| Krylov vs Yakhyaev (Oct 24)Bout 6 | Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev | KO/TKO | R1 2:38 | 83% |
| Magomedov vs Rowston (Oct 24)Bout 7 | Abusupiyan Magomedov | Submission | R1 1:44 | 53% |
| Dawson vs Aliev (Oct 24)Bout 8 | Grant Dawson | Decision | R3 5:00 | 51% |
| Pico vs Keita (Oct 24)Bout 9 | Aaron Pico | KO/TKO | R1 1:14 | 58% |
| Oki vs Santos (Oct 24)Bout 10 | Daniel Gustavo SantosUpset | Decision | R3 5:00 | 50% |
| Vagaev vs Malkoun (Oct 24)Bout 11 | Abubakar Vagaev | Decision | R3 5:00 | 60% |
| Steele vs Gugnon (Oct 24)Bout 12 | Kody Steele | KO/TKO | R1 3:54 | 59% |
| Thicknesse vs Chopurov (Oct 24)Bout 13 | Colby ThicknesseUpset | Decision | R3 5:00 | 17% |
| Lucindo vs Caliari (Oct 24)Bout 14 | Jasmin Lucindo | Decision | R3 5:00 | 79% |
OCT 1713 bouts listed, main event first. The fighter Kalshi priced higher when the card began won 7 of 13.
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott results
| Bout | Winner | Method | Ended | At start |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckley vs MalottMain event | Mike Malott | KO/TKO | R2 2:32 | 56% |
| Blanchfield vs JasudaviciusCo-main | Jasmine JasudaviciusUpset | Decision | R3 5:00 | 25% |
| Nelson vs PerezBout 3 | Cristian Perez | KO/TKO | R1 0:27 | 75% |
| Barriault vs DaukausBout 4 | Marc Andre BarriaultUpset | KO/TKO | R1 4:28 | 36% |
| Jourdain vs Cuamba (Oct 17)Bout 5 | Timothy Angel CuambaUpset | Submission | R2 2:48 | 39% |
| Nallo vs LandwehrBout 6 | Mandel Nallo | KO/TKO | R2 0:47 | 72% |
| Boser vs DinizBout 7 | Tanner BoserUpset | KO/TKO | R3 4:26 | 35% |
| Anheliger vs KoslowBout 8 | Steven Koslow | Submission | R3 4:31 | 62% |
| Croden vs ChandlerBout 9 | Chelsea ChandlerUpset | Submission | R1 4:52 | 24% |
| Chovancek vs You (Oct 17)Bout 10 | Soyoung YouUpset | Submission | R3 4:19 | 47% |
| Leblanc vs GalantiBout 11 | Nick Galanti | Submission | R1 1:26 | 86% |
| Mahjoub vs FaglierBout 12 | Joel Faglier | KO/TKO | R2 2:11 | 55% |
| Cerminara vs StillerBout 13 | Katlyn Cerminara | KO/TKO | R1 4:46 | 70% |
OCT 1012 bouts listed, main event first. The fighter Kalshi priced higher when the card began won 6 of 11.
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan results
| Bout | Winner | Method | Ended | At start |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen vs DuncanMain event | Brendan Allen | Submission | R5 2:46 | 52% |
| Camilo vs HerbertCo-main | Jai HerbertUpset | Decision | R3 5:00 | 36% |
| Godinez vs SouzaBout 3 | Lupita Godinez | Decision | R3 5:00 | 69% |
| Fili vs Kamaka IIIBout 4 | Andre Fili | KO/TKO | R2 0:22 | 58% |
| Walker vs MeerschaertBout 5 | Julius Walker | KO/TKO | R2 3:35 | 74% |
| Wellmaker vs TanziloviBout 6 | Otari TanziloviUpset | KO/TKO | R2 2:39 | 35% |
| Prado vs BonfimBout 7 | Francisco Prado | KO/TKO | R1 4:23 | 61% |
| Price vs ShahbazyanBout 8 | Niko PriceUpset | KO/TKO | R1 1:58 | 43% |
| Franco vs RibeiroBout 9 | Brendson RibeiroUpset | Submission | R1 1:49 | 23% |
| Frye vs HarrisBout 10 | Allen Rocky FryeUpset | KO/TKO | R1 2:59 | 24% |
| Pereira vs ZheleznyakovaBout 11 | Alice Pereira | KO/TKO | R1 5:00 | 56% |
| Kareckaite vs GattoBout 12 | Draw or no contest | Draw/No Contest | -- | -- |
AGAINST THE MARKETAcross the 4 cards shown, the fighters Kalshi priced higher when each card began won 33 of 50 bouts (66%); their prices said 65%.
How the favourites did against their prices
Favourites won66%33 of 50 bouts across the 4 cards shown
Against the price+1 ptTheir prices when each card began averaged 65%: about 32.7 wins
Upsets17Bouts won by the fighter priced lower when the card began
Biggest upset17%Colby Thicknesse, in Thicknesse vs Chopurov (Oct 24) at UFC 333
Favourites’ wins against the wins their prices expected, by card
← Fewer than pricedMore than priced →- UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan (Oct 31)Moicano vs Nolan (Oct 31)UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan (Oct 31): favourites won 9 of 12, against 8.2 wins their prices expected:+0.89 of 12Favourites won 9 of 12; their prices added up to 8.2 wins
- UFC 333UFC 333UFC 333: favourites won 11 of 14, against 8.6 wins their prices expected:+2.411 of 14Favourites won 11 of 14; their prices added up to 8.6 wins
- UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs MalottBuckley vs MalottUFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott: favourites won 7 of 13, against 8.8 wins their prices expected:−1.87 of 13Favourites won 7 of 13; their prices added up to 8.8 wins
- UFC Fight Night: Allen vs DuncanAllen vs DuncanUFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan: favourites won 6 of 11, against 7.1 wins their prices expected:−1.16 of 11Favourites won 6 of 11; their prices added up to 7.1 wins
Biggest upsetsThe winners priced lowest when their card began
- Colby Thicknesse17%Thicknesse vs Chopurov (Oct 24) · UFC 333
- Brendson Ribeiro23%Franco vs Ribeiro · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan
- Chelsea Chandler24%Croden vs Chandler · UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott
- Allen Rocky Frye24%Frye vs Harris · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan
- Jasmine Jasudavicius25%Blanchfield vs Jasudavicius · UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott
METHOD
How to read this page
Each winner is the market’s grading: the fighter whose contract settled Yes. A draw or no contest settles both fighters at 50¢; a bout called off before the card settles at a fair price and is marked Canceled.
Method is the method-of-victory contract that settled Yes. Those markets began in January 2026; for earlier cards it is the fight data’s.
Ended is the round and the time into it, from the fight data. It is shown only where that data names the same winner as the market.
At start is the winner’s price at the last trade before the card’s first scheduled bout, so every fight is priced before it began. Upset marks a winner the market priced lower then.
Against the market sets each card’s favourites, priced when the card began, against what those prices said: a favourite at 70% should win about 7 times in 10, so a card’s bar is its favourites’ wins less the wins their prices added up to.
FAQ
Questions
Who won Moicano vs Nolan (Oct 31)?
Tom Nolan, by KO/TKO (R3 1:28).
How often did the UFC favourite win?
At Moicano vs Nolan (Oct 31), UFC 333, Buckley vs Malott and Allen vs Duncan, the fighter Kalshi priced higher when the card began won 33 of 50 bouts with a winner.
How do I read Kalshi’s UFC odds?
Each price is what a contract paying $1 if that outcome happens costs right now, so 62¢ reads as a 62% chance. Prices move with every trade, and every one on this page links to its market.
SEE ALSO