Inflation in January 2025? (CPI YoY)
Above 2.9%
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 2.8%
87%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––News · Forecasts for the January Consumer Price Index suggest inflation remained stubbornly high, with prices expected to rise 0.3% month-over-month and 2.9% annually, Morningstar reports. With a strong labor market and new tariffs adding uncertainty, markets see little chance of a Federal Reserve rate cut in March.
$1,796,876
14:41:11
Which Senators will vote for Tulsi Gabbard?
John Curtis
66%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Mitch McConnell
14%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––News · The Senate is set to vote late Tuesday or early Wednesday on Tulsi Gabbard's confirmation as director of national intelligence after her nomination advanced in a 52-46 procedural vote, CBS News reports. Despite past controversies and limited intelligence experience, Gabbard secured key GOP support and vowed to refocus intelligence efforts on national security.
$4,369,903
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO this year?
Yes
$100 → $372No
$100 → $125News · OpenAI CEO Sam Altman dismissed Elon Musk's $97.4 billion takeover bid, suggesting Musk is driven by insecurity rather than genuine competition, Bloomberg reports. Speaking at the Paris AI summit, Altman said he doesn't believe Musk is 'a happy person' and accused him of using lawsuits and other tactics to slow OpenAI down.
$48,712
Will Trump eliminate the Department of Education this year?
Yes
$100 → $273No
$100 → $148News · Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has cut $881 million in Education Department contracts, including $101 million in diversity, equity, and inclusion grants, Newsweek reports. The cuts come as President Trump is expected to issue an executive order shutting down the department.
$315,724
Oscar for Best Picture?
Anora
60%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––The Brutalist
27%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––News · Sean Baker's 'Anora' won top honors at both the Producers Guild and Directors Guild Awards, solidifying its status as the favorite for Best Picture at the Oscars, The New York Times reports. The film's PGA victory is particularly significant, as the guild's winner has gone on to claim the top Oscar nearly every year since 2009.
$3,600,568
How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
At least 250 billion
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 500 billion
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––News · The Trump administration is urgently challenging a court order that bars top officials from accessing the Treasury Department's payment system, calling it an unconstitutional overreach, Politico reports. The Justice Department is pressing for the order's immediate reversal, arguing that it hinders Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's ability to run the department.
$1,063,293
Government shutdown this year?
Yes
$100 → $162No
$100 → $234News · Sen. Andy Kim (D-N.J.) warned that Democrats are prepared to shut down the government in response to the Trump administration's actions, The Hill reports. Citing concerns over agency closures and federal payment access, Kim said his party won't support funding efforts that enable what he called 'lawlessness.'
$4,297,661
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Top USA Song on Spotify today?
Not Like Us
92%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––luther (with sza)
10%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$13,565,665
6:15:11
How many Senators will vote for Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence?
52
58%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––51
29%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,846,302
Which Senators will vote for RFK?
Mitch McConnell
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Lisa Murkowski
79%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,922,324
Who will Trump pardon in his first 100 days?
Edward Snowden
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Steve Bannon
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,691,007
What will Trump say in his speech about the State of the Union on March 4th?
LA / Los Angeles
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Biden
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,109,079
"Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 60
58%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 65
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$300,003
Highest temperature in NYC today?
34° to 35°
86%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
36° to 37°
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$32,636,653
6:15:11
Will Trump declassify Epstein documents in his first 100 days?
Yes
$100 → $176No
$100 → $182$356,689
Which Senators will vote for Kash Patel?
Mitch McConnell
64%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Lisa Murkowski
73%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$639,802
Top US iPhone app tomorrow?
Tubi: Movies & Live TV
80%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––ChatGPT
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$998,407
16:16:11
Snow in NYC this month?
Above 10.0 inches
53%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 12.0 inches
9%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,507,512
How many Senators will vote for RFK as Secretary of HHS?
52
77%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––51
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,221,022
When will Dogecoin hit $1?
Before Jan 1, 2026
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Sep 1, 2025
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$239,406
Pro Men's Basketball Champion?
Boston
29%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Oklahoma City
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,164,630
GTA 6 release date?
Before 2026
67%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before July 2025
2%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$101,556
Best AI this month?
Gemini
79%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––ChatGPT
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,465,625
Jobs numbers this month?
Above 200,000
37%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 150,000
64%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,027,257
Number of tornadoes this month?
Above 50
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 25
73%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,003,289
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
Before 2026
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before October
27%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$238,043
What will be the top AI model this month?
Gemini-2.0-Flash-Thinking-Exp-01-21
61%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Gemini-2.0-Pro-Exp-02-05
3%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$309,366
Highest temperature in Miami tomorrow?
82° to 83°
46%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
84° to 85°
32%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$17,183,659
Who will visit the White House before April?
Dana White
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Volodymyr Zelenskyy
56%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$115,990
"The Monkey" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 85
40%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 80
68%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$90,931