MARKETSPERPSLIVE148
Cash
Portfolio
Trending

Elections

PoliticsCultureSportsCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive148AccountSocial
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

Elections

All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
Senate

Maine-Texas Senate Combo

James Talarico and Troy Jackson
2.14x
Ken Paxton and Susan Collins
3.52x
$633,819 vol6 markets
Senate

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Above 52
3.66x
50
5.90x
$2,601,560 vol10 markets
Senate

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

50
5.90x
49
6.29x
$887,467 vol15 markets
Senate

Closest Senate race this year?

Texas
Texas
Texas
6.29x
Iowa
Iowa
Iowa
7.25x
$482,543 vol17 markets
Senate

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

Below 53
1.29x
53
8.56x
$127,479 vol7 markets
Senate

Texas Senate: Exact outcome

Paxton defeats Talarico
1.93x
Talarico defeats Paxton
1.90x
$328,959 vol2 markets
US Elections

How many Republican senators will lose reelection this year?

5 or more
1.50x
Exactly 4
2.40x
$64,729 vol4 markets
Senate

How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection this year?

Exactly 0
1.13x
Exactly 1
9.41x
$85,491 vol6 markets
Senate

Will Democrats sweep the “core four” Senate races?

Yes
1.62x
No
2.19x
$237,382 vol1 market
Senate Combos

Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Democratic sweep
3.52x
Republican sweep
4.51x
$24,938 vol16 markets
Senate

Maine Senate Exact Outcome

Democratic party wins
1.40x
Republican party wins
2.73x
$650,001 vol2 markets
US Elections

Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?

Yes
1.50x
No
2.29x
$31 vol1 market
Senate

Larger margin of victory: Kansas or Nebraska Senate?

Kansas US Senate
1.52x
Nebraska US Senate
2.14x
$10,513 vol2 markets
Senate

Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate?

Georgia Senate
1.62x
North Carolina Senate
2.29x
$17,748 vol2 markets
Senate Combos

Manchin Senate combo: Rogers & Collins

Both lose
2.09x
Rogers wins, Collins loses
4.51x
$0 vol4 markets
Senate

Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)

Above 56
5.90x
Below 45
5.90x
$3,341 vol14 markets
Senate

When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority?

Before 1AM Nov 4
1.79x
Before Nov 4
2.40x
$78 vol10 markets