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Elections
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Frequency
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
Senate
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
50
5.25
x
15
%
49
6.29
x
15
%
$628,609 vol
15 markets
Senate
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Above 52
4.13
x
22
%
51
5.90
x
15
%
$2,207,572 vol
10 markets
Senate
Closest Senate race this year?
Texas
5.56
x
17
%
Alaska
7.25
x
13
%
$348,099 vol
17 markets
Senate
Maine-Texas Senate Combo
James Talarico and Troy Jackson
2.29
x
42
%
Ken Paxton and Susan Collins
3.08
x
31
%
$480,663 vol
6 markets
Senate
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection this year?
Exactly 0
1.15
x
86
%
Exactly 1
8.56
x
9
%
$73,979 vol
6 markets
Senate
Will Democrats sweep the “core four” Senate races?
Yes
1.79
x
52
%
No
2.01
x
48
%
$141,213 vol
1 market
Senate
Maine Senate Exact Outcome
Democratic party wins
1.46
x
67
%
Republican party wins
2.81
x
34
%
$644,605 vol
2 markets
Senate
Texas Senate: Exact outcome
Talarico defeats Paxton
1.93
x
50
%
Paxton defeats Talarico
1.90
x
47
%
$281,287 vol
2 markets
US Elections
How many Republican senators will lose reelection this year?
5 or more
2.05
x
44
%
Exactly 3
4.51
x
22
%
$58,830 vol
4 markets
Senate Combos
Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?
Republican sweep
3.80
x
24
%
Democratic sweep
3.29
x
29
%
$17,617 vol
16 markets
Senate
Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate?
Georgia Senate
1.93
x
50
%
North Carolina Senate
2.40
x
39
%
$15,696 vol
2 markets
Senate
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
Below 53
1.25
x
78
%
53
9.41
x
8
%
$70,195 vol
7 markets
Senate
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)
45
1.42
x
14
%
46
1.70
x
4
%
$3,027 vol
14 markets