Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive103AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE103
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

CA-05 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Tom McClintock
Republican party
93.5%
▲ 0.6

Tom McClintock

Republican party
93.5%
▲ 0.6
Michael Masuda
Democratic party
6.5%
▼ 0.6

Michael Masuda

Democratic party
6.5%
▼ 0.6
People are also trading
Series Image
California's 5th District margin of victory
Series Image
California 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
CA-05 House election: Michael Masuda vote percent
Series Image
CA-05 House election: Tom McClintock vote percent
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Who will control the House?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
Series Image
Kansas Senate winner?
Series Image
Who will control the Senate?
Series Image
Michigan Senate winner?

More California and 2026 Midterm Races

More California races

California Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonCA-11 House raceCA-22 House raceCA-45 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Nevada Governor race: Ford vs. LombardoNew Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. SununuWisconsin Governor race: Crowley vs. TiffanyMontana Senate race: Alme vs. BodnarArizona Governor race: Hobbs vs. BiggsMississippi Senate race: Hyde-Smith vs. ColomIdaho Senate race: Risch vs. AchillesPennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. GarrityVermont Governor race: Scott vs. JanooMinnesota Governor race: Klobuchar vs. Demuth
CA-05 House winner?

Tom McClintock

Odds
94% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Masuda
Nov 3 ·R +12.4margin forecast
McClintock
$21,071 vol
Race Intel

CA-05 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentTom McClintock (R)Running for re-election

CA-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Michael MasudaD
    $542K
    34%
    $542K raised·34% small donors
  • Tom McClintockR
    $1.2M
    11%
    $1.2M raised·11% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-05 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +20.7%2020R +14.5%