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House
CA-51 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Sara Jacobs
Democratic party
98.7%
▲ 0.5
Yes
99¢
No
3.1¢
Sara Jacobs
Democratic party
98.7%
▲ 0.5
Yes
99¢
No
3.1¢
Ricardo Cabrera
Republican party
1.3%
▼ 0.5
Yes
3.1¢
No
99¢
Ricardo Cabrera
Republican party
1.3%
▼ 0.5
Yes
3.1¢
No
99¢
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Buy
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Dollars
CA-51 House winner?
Sara Jacobs
YES 99¢
NO 3.1¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Jacobs
Nov 3
·
D +29.0
margin forecast
Cabrera
$3,192 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
CA-51 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Sara Jacobs (D)
Running for re-election
CA-51 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Ricardo Cabrera
R
—
—
Sara Jacobs
D
$1.8M
9.9%
$1.8M raised
·
9.9% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past CA-51 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +18.2%
2020
D +22.8%