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  1. House

OH-15 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Mike Carey
Republican party
63%

Mike Carey

Republican party
63%

Don Leonard
Democratic party
37%

Don Leonard

Democratic party
37%

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Control of Congress

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Illinois Senate race: Stratton vs. TracyDelaware Senate race: Coons vs. KatzWyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. ByrdHawaii Governor race: Green vs. CorderyOregon Senate race: Merkley vs. SmithAlabama Senate race: Moore vs. WessSouth Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. AhlersWyoming Governor race: Barlow vs. CasnerIdaho Governor race: Little vs. PickensNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley
OH-15 House winner?

Mike Carey

Odds
66% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Leonard
Nov 3 ·R +2.5margin forecast
Carey
$117,420 vol
Race Intel

OH-15 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMike Carey (R)Running for re-election

OH-15 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Don LeonardD
    $1.1M
    15%
    $1.1M raised·15% small donors
  • Mike CareyR
    $4M
    2.7%
    $4M raised·2.7% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past OH-15 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +10.0%2020R +7.3%