Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive112AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE112
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

TN-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Scott DesJarlais
Republican party
96.4%
▼ 0.1

Scott DesJarlais

Republican party
96.4%
▼ 0.1

Victoria Broderick
Democratic party
3.6%
▲ 0.1

Victoria Broderick

Democratic party
3.6%
▲ 0.1

People are also trading
Series Image
Tennessee Senate winner?
Series Image
Tennessee's 4th District margin of victory
Series Image
Tennessee 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
TN-09 House winner?
Series Image
Tennessee Governor winner?
Series Image
TN-02 House winner?
Series Image
TN-07 House winner?
Series Image
TN-05 House winner?
Series Image
TN-08 House winner?
Series Image
TN-01 House winner?

More Tennessee and 2026 Midterm Races

More Tennessee races

Tennessee Senate race: Hagerty vs. BradshawTennessee Governor race: Blackburn vs. GreenTN-09 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Florida Senate race: Moody vs. NixonIowa Governor race: Sand vs. LahnNew Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. SununuWisconsin Governor race: Crowley vs. TiffanyMontana Senate race: Alme vs. BodnarArizona Governor race: Hobbs vs. BiggsMississippi Senate race: Hyde-Smith vs. ColomIdaho Senate race: Risch vs. AchillesPennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. GarrityVermont Governor race: Scott vs. Janoo
TN-04 House winner?

Scott DesJarlais

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Broderick
Nov 3 ·R +14.6margin forecast
DesJarlais
$21,118 vol
Race Intel

TN-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentScott DesJarlais (R)Running for re-election

TN-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Scott DesJarlaisR
    $536.8K
    0.3%
    $536.8K raised·0.3% small donors
  • Victoria BroderickD
    $83.9K
    59%
    $83.9K raised·59% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TN-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +23.9%2020R +18.0%