Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive105AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE105
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

TX-19 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Tom Sell
Republican party
95.9%
▼ 0.4

Tom Sell

Republican party
95.9%
▼ 0.4

Kyle Rable
Democratic party
4.1%
▲ 0.4

Kyle Rable

Democratic party
4.1%
▲ 0.4

People are also trading
Series Image
Texas Senate: Exact outcome
Series Image
Texas's 19th District margin of victory
Series Image
Texas 19 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
Series Image
Texas Governor-Senate combo
Series Image
TX-23 House winner?
Series Image
TX-15 House winner?
Series Image
TX-35 House winner?
Series Image
Texas Lieutenant Governor winner?
Series Image
TX-34 House winner?

More Texas and 2026 Midterm Races

More Texas races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaTX-15 House raceTX-23 House raceTX-35 House raceTX-28 House raceTX-34 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanMinnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. Tafoya

More races

Maryland Governor race: Moore vs. CoxMassachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. DeatonNew Mexico Senate race: Luján vs. MarkerNebraska Governor race: Pillen vs. WalzOklahoma Senate race: Hern vs. ThomasVirginia Senate race: Warner vs. MizusawaColorado Senate race: Hickenlooper vs. BaisleyRhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKayArkansas Governor race: Sanders vs. LoveWest Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. Anderson
TX-19 House winner?

Tom Sell

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Rable
Nov 3 ·R +38.2margin forecast
Sell
$8,899 vol
Race Intel

TX-19 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJodey Arrington (R)Not seeking re-election

TX-19 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Kyle RableD
    $46.2K
    46%
    $46.2K raised·46% small donors
  • Tom SellR
    $2.4M
    0.4%
    $2.4M raised·0.4% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-19 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +51.7%2020R +46.2%