Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive109AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE109
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. US Elections
  2. /
  3. 2026 midterm predictions

Which party will win the U.S. House?

2
Combo
Chance
Democratic Party
91.5%
▼ 0.4

Democratic Party

91.5%
▼ 0.4
Republican Party
8.5%
▲ 0.4

Republican Party

8.5%
▲ 0.4
People are also trading
Series Image
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Series Image
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Series Image
Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Series Image
Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
Series Image
Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Series Image
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
Series Image
Maine Senate winner?

Who Will Win the House in 2026?

All 435 House seats are on the ballot on November 3, 2026. A party needs 218 seats for a majority. Kalshi traders give Democrats a 92% chance of winning control of the House.

Control will come down to 32 competitive districts. The most traded have their own markets below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Congress balance of power

Key House races

MT-01 House raceFL-14 House raceTX-23 House raceAL-02 House raceVA-05 House raceMN-01 House raceNY-17 House raceVA-01 House racePA-01 House raceTX-35 House race

Top Senate and governor races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly

More races

West Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. AndersonDelaware Senate race: Coons vs. KatzWyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. ByrdIllinois Senate race: Stratton vs. TracyArkansas Governor race: Sanders vs. LoveOregon Senate race: Merkley vs. SmithAlabama Senate race: Moore vs. WessHawaii Governor race: Green vs. CorderySouth Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. AhlersWyoming Governor race: Barlow vs. Casner
Combo
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Democratic Party

Democratic Party

Odds
92% chance
Max payout
Feb 1, 2027
$0
Democrat
Nov 3
Republican
$130,161,739 vol