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Who will control the Senate? 2026 Senate Control Odds & Predictions | Kalshi

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US Elections
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2026 midterm predictions

Who will control the Senate?

Settles on media consensus; if no consensus, President pro tempore's party on 2/1/27

2

Democratic

Nov 3

Republican

$119,686,973 vol

Chance

Democratic Party

71%

▲ 3

Democratic Party

71%

▲ 3

Republican Party

29%

▼ 3

Republican Party

29%

▼ 3

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Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

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How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

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Closest Senate race this year?

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How many Republican senators will lose reelection this year?

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How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection this year?

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Texas Senate winner?

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Who will control the House?

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Texas Governor winner?

Who Will Control the Senate in 2026?

35 Senate seats are on the ballot on November 3, 2026. Kalshi traders give Democrats a 71% chance of winning control.

The races most likely to decide control are Texas, Michigan, Maine, Ohio, Iowa, South Carolina and Kansas. Each has its own market below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the House?

Who will control the Senate?

Democratic Party

Dollars$

Odds

72% chance

Max payout

Feb 1, 2027

$0

Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. Paxton Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. Rogers Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins Ohio Senate race: Brown vs. Husted Iowa Senate race: Hinson vs. Turek South Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. Andrews Kansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. Marshall Texas Governor race: Abbott vs. Hinojosa Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Arkansas Governor race: Sanders vs. Love West Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. Anderson Delaware Senate race: Coons vs. Katz Illinois Senate race: Stratton vs. Tracy Wyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. Byrd Hawaii Governor race: Green vs. Cordery Oregon Senate race: Merkley vs. Smith Alabama Senate race: Moore vs. Wess South Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. Ahlers Idaho Governor race: Little vs. Pickens