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  1. US Elections
  2. /
  3. 2026 midterm predictions

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Settles on media consensus; if no consensus, President pro tempore's party on 2/1/27
2
Combo
Chance
Democratic Party
67%
▼ 1

Democratic Party

67%
▼ 1
Republican Party
33%
▲ 1

Republican Party

33%
▲ 1
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How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection this year?
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Texas Senate winner?
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Which party will win the U.S. House?
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Texas Governor winner?

Who Will Control the Senate in 2026?

35 Senate seats are on the ballot on November 3, 2026. Kalshi traders give Democrats a 67% chance of winning control.

The races most likely to decide control are Texas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, Iowa, South Carolina and Kansas. Each has its own market below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

West Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. AndersonDelaware Senate race: Coons vs. KatzWyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. ByrdIllinois Senate race: Stratton vs. TracyArkansas Governor race: Sanders vs. LoveHawaii Governor race: Green vs. CorderyOregon Senate race: Merkley vs. SmithAlabama Senate race: Moore vs. WessSouth Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. AhlersWyoming Governor race: Barlow vs. Casner
Combo
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Democratic Party

Democratic Party

Odds
69% chance
Max payout
Feb 1, 2027
$0
Democratic
Nov 3
Republican
$84,583,145 vol