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  1. House

ME-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party


Chance

Paul LePage
Republican party
57%
▲ 2

Paul LePage

Republican party
57%
▲ 2

Matt Dunlap
Democratic party
43%
▼ 2

Matt Dunlap

Democratic party
43%
▼ 2

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Maine's 2nd District margin of victory
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Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin?
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Maine State Senate winner?
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ME-02 House election: Paul LePage vote percent (1st Round)
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Maine's 2nd District margin of victory
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Maine State House winner?
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ME-02 House election: Matt Dunlap vote percent (1st Round)
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
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ME-02 House winner?

Paul LePage

Odds
60% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Dunlap
Nov 3 ·R +0.8margin forecast
LePage
$401,983 vol
Race Intel

ME-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJared Golden (D)Not seeking re-election

ME-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Paul LePageR50.4%
    50.4%
    $3.2M
    6.2%
    $3.2M raised·6.2% small donors
  • Matt DunlapD47.2%
    47.2%
    $2.7M
    35%
    $2.7M raised·35% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past ME-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +9.0%2020R +6.1%

More Maine and 2026 Midterm Races

More Maine races

Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMaine Governor race: Pingree vs. Charles

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

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2026 midterm predictions2026 House forecast

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