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  1. House

MI-07 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
William Lawrence
Democratic party
78%

William Lawrence

Democratic party
78%
Tom Barrett
Republican party
22%

Tom Barrett

Republican party
22%

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General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
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MI-07 House winner?

William Lawrence

Odds
80% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Lawrence
Nov 3 ·D +4.6margin forecast
Barrett
$267,949 vol
Race Intel

MI-07 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentTom Barrett (R)Running for re-election

MI-07 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • William LawrenceD51.0%
    51.0%
    $1.1M
    26%
    $1.1M raised·26% small donors
  • Tom BarrettR45.8%
    45.8%
    $7.9M
    24%
    $7.9M raised·24% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MI-07 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +1.3%2020D +0.5%

More Michigan and 2026 Midterm Races

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