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  1. House

MT-01 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Aaron Flint
Republican party
69%
▼ 2

Aaron Flint

Republican party
69%
▼ 2
Sam Forstag
Democratic party
31%
▲ 2

Sam Forstag

Democratic party
31%
▲ 2
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MT-01 House winner?

Aaron Flint

Odds
71% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Forstag
Nov 3 ·R +2.0margin forecast
Flint
$501,754 vol
Race Intel

MT-01 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentRyan Zinke (R)Not seeking re-election

MT-01 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Aaron FlintR44.4%
    44.4%
    $1.3M
    22%
    $1.3M raised·22% small donors
  • Sam ForstagD44.3%
    44.3%
    $1.4M
    36%
    $1.4M raised·36% small donors

Flint vs. Forstag Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageFlint +0.144.4% vs. 44.3%
Kalshi oddsFlint 69%Forstag 31% · $484K traded
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MT-01 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +11.5%2020R +6.9%