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House
MO-05 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
Chance
Emanuel Cleaver
Democratic party
96.2%
▼ 0.1
Yes
97¢
No
5.1¢
Emanuel Cleaver
Democratic party
96.2%
▼ 0.1
Yes
97¢
No
5.1¢
Rick Brattin
Republican party
3.8%
▲ 0.1
Yes
3¢
No
97.4¢
Rick Brattin
Republican party
3.8%
▲ 0.1
Yes
3¢
No
97.4¢
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Buy
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Dollars
MO-05 House winner?
Emanuel Cleaver
YES 97¢
NO 5.1¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Cleaver
Nov 3
·
D +28.9
margin forecast
Brattin
$189,093 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
MO-05 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Emanuel Cleaver (D)
Running for re-election
MO-05 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Emanuel Cleaver
D
$1.3M
11%
$1.3M raised
·
11% small donors
Rick Brattin
R
$457.5K
2.4%
$457.5K raised
·
2.4% small donors
Cleaver vs. Brattin Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Cleaver 96%
Brattin 4% · $164.3K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past MO-05 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +18.3%
2020
R +14.3%