Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive97AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE97
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

IN-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Jim Baird
Republican party
94%

Jim Baird

Republican party
94%
Drew Cox
Democratic party
6%

Drew Cox

Democratic party
6%
People are also trading
Series Image
Indiana's 4th District margin of victory
Series Image
Indiana 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
IN-04 House election: Drew Cox vote percent
Series Image
IN-04 House election: Jim Baird vote percent
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
Series Image
California Governor winner? (Person)
Series Image
New York Governor winner?

More Indiana and 2026 Midterm Races

More Indiana races

IN-05 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. Hamilton

More races

Idaho Governor race: Little vs. PickensFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyMinnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. TafoyaNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyNebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. OsbornAlaska Senate raceGeorgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. JacksonCalifornia Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonNew Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. SununuGeorgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. Collins
IN-04 House winner?

Jim Baird

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Cox
Nov 3 ·R +24.0margin forecast
Baird
$11,729 vol
Race Intel

IN-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJames Baird (R)Running for re-election

IN-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Drew CoxD
    $54.1K
    35%
    $54.1K raised·35% small donors
  • Jim BairdR
    $358.3K
    19%
    $358.3K raised·19% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past IN-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +29.7%2020R +29.1%