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  1. House

TN-05 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Charlie Hatcher
Republican party
88%
▼ 1

Charlie Hatcher

Republican party
88%
▼ 1
Chaz Molder
Democratic party
12%
▲ 1

Chaz Molder

Democratic party
12%
▲ 1
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More Tennessee and 2026 Midterm Races

More Tennessee races

Tennessee Senate race: Hagerty vs. BradshawTennessee Governor race: Blackburn vs. Green

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

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Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. Hamilton

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Minnesota Governor race: Klobuchar vs. DemuthMichigan Governor race: Benson vs. JamesSouth Dakota Senate race: Rounds vs. BengsOregon Governor race: Kotek vs. DrazanArkansas Senate race: Cotton vs. ShoffnerOklahoma Governor race: Mazzei vs. MunsonNew Hampshire Governor race: Ayotte vs. WarmingtonIllinois Governor race: Pritzker vs. BaileyColorado Governor race: Weiser vs. MarxNew Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. Murphy
TN-05 House winner?

Charlie Hatcher

Odds
91% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Molder
Nov 3 ·R +11.1margin forecast
Hatcher
$64,919 vol
Race Intel

TN-05 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentAndrew Ogles (R)Running for re-election

TN-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Charlie HatcherR
    $1.7M
    1.5%
    $1.7M raised·1.5% small donors
  • Chaz MolderD
    $2.6M
    11%
    $2.6M raised·11% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TN-05 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +23.1%2020R +16.4%