Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive138AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE138
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

CA-01 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Mike McGuire
Democratic party
94.8%

Mike McGuire

Democratic party
94.8%
James Gallagher
Republican party
5.2%

James Gallagher

Republican party
5.2%
People are also trading
Series Image
California's 1st District margin of victory
Series Image
California 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
CA-01 House election: James Gallagher vote percent
Series Image
CA-01 House election: Mike McGuire vote percent
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Series Image
Maine Senate winner?
Series Image
Ohio Governor winner?

More California and 2026 Midterm Races

More California races

California Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonCA-11 House raceCA-22 House raceCA-45 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Michigan Governor race: Benson vs. JamesTennessee Senate race: Hagerty vs. BradshawSouth Dakota Senate race: Rounds vs. BengsOregon Governor race: Kotek vs. DrazanArkansas Senate race: Cotton vs. ShoffnerOklahoma Governor race: Mazzei vs. MunsonNew Hampshire Governor race: Ayotte vs. WarmingtonColorado Governor race: Weiser vs. MarxTennessee Governor race: Blackburn vs. GreenIllinois Governor race: Pritzker vs. Bailey
CA-01 House winner?

Mike McGuire

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
McGuire
Nov 3 ·D +16.2margin forecast
Gallagher
$18,241 vol
Race Intel

CA-01 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJames Gallagher (R)Running for re-election

CA-01 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • James GallagherR
    $1.5M
    5.0%
    $1.5M raised·5.0% small donors
  • Mike McGuireD
    $1.8M
    26%
    $1.8M raised·26% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-01 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +12.2%2020D +17.9%