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  1. House

TX-10 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Chris Gober
Republican party
91.6%
▲ 0.5

Chris Gober

Republican party
91.6%
▲ 0.5
Caitlin Rourk
Democratic party
8.4%
▼ 0.5

Caitlin Rourk

Democratic party
8.4%
▼ 0.5
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More Texas and 2026 Midterm Races

More Texas races

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Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollySouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanMinnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. Tafoya

More races

South Carolina Governor race: Wilson vs. JohnsonMassachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. DeatonNebraska Governor race: Pillen vs. WalzNew Mexico Senate race: Luján vs. MarkerColorado Senate race: Hickenlooper vs. BaisleyOklahoma Senate race: Hern vs. ThomasVirginia Senate race: Warner vs. MizusawaIllinois Senate race: Stratton vs. TracyRhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKayWest Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. Anderson
TX-10 House winner?

Chris Gober

Odds
93% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Rourk
Nov 3 ·R +15.2margin forecast
Gober
$14,787 vol
Race Intel

TX-10 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMichael McCaul (R)Not seeking re-election

TX-10 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Caitlin RourkD
    $531K
    31%
    $531K raised·31% small donors
  • Chris GoberR
    $3M
    0.4%
    $3M raised·0.4% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-10 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +22.6%2020R +14.8%