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  1. House

AZ-09 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Paul Gosar
Republican party
94.3%
▼ 0.7

Paul Gosar

Republican party
94.3%
▼ 0.7
Dani Sterbinsky
Democratic party
5.7%
▲ 0.7

Dani Sterbinsky

Democratic party
5.7%
▲ 0.7
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Arizona's 9th District margin of victory
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Arizona 09 House General Election: voter turnout
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AZ-09 House election: Dani Sterbinsky vote percent
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AZ-09 House election: Paul Gosar vote percent
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AZ-09 House winner?

Paul Gosar

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sterbinsky
Nov 3 ·R +18.6margin forecast
Gosar
$18,025 vol
Race Intel

AZ-09 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentPaul Gosar (R)Running for re-election

AZ-09 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Dani SterbinskyD
    $437K
    86%
    $437K raised·86% small donors
  • Paul GosarR
    $580K
    21%
    $580K raised·21% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past AZ-09 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +31.0%2020R +25.8%