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  1. House

HI-01 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Ed Case
Democratic party
97.7%

Ed Case

Democratic party
97.7%
Adriel Lam
Republican party
2.3%

Adriel Lam

Republican party
2.3%
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Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory
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Hawaii 01 House General Election: voter turnout
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HI-01 House election: Adriel Lam vote percent
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HI-01 House election: Ed Case vote percent
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Which party will win the U.S. House?
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Texas Senate winner?
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California Governor winner? (Person)
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Ohio Governor winner?
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Ohio Senate winner?
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Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

More Hawaii and 2026 Midterm Races

More Hawaii races

Hawaii Governor race: Green vs. Cordery

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley

More races

Kentucky Senate race: Barr vs. BookerNew Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. MurphyColorado Governor race: Weiser vs. MarxAlaska Governor raceKansas Governor race: Masterson vs. HolscherNew Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. HullAlabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. JonesNew Mexico Senate race: Luján vs. MarkerLouisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. DavisMaine Governor race: Pingree vs. Charles
HI-01 House winner?

Ed Case

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Case
Nov 4 ·D +45.3margin forecast
Lam
Race Intel

HI-01 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 4, 2026General election
IncumbentEd Case (D)Running for re-election

HI-01 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Adriel LamR
    —
    —
  • Ed CaseD
    $1.3M
    1.5%
    $1.3M raised·1.5% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past HI-01 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +24.7%2020D +29.4%