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  1. House

IL-16 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Darin LaHood
Republican party
96%
▲ 3.9

Darin LaHood

Republican party
96%
▲ 3.9
Paul Nolley
Democratic party
4%
▼ 3.9

Paul Nolley

Democratic party
4%
▼ 3.9
People are also trading
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Illinois's 16th District margin of victory
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Illinois 16 House General Election: voter turnout
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IL-16 House election: Darin LaHood vote percent
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IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent
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Which party will win the U.S. House?
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Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

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IL-16 House winner?

Darin LaHood

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Nolley
Nov 3 ·R +17.5margin forecast
LaHood
$41,792 vol
Race Intel

IL-16 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentDarin LaHood (R)Running for re-election

IL-16 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Darin LaHoodR
    $4.2M
    2.3%
    $4.2M raised·2.3% small donors
  • Paul NolleyD
    $415.7K
    26%
    $415.7K raised·26% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past IL-16 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +22.7%2020R +21.5%