Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive372AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE372
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programSmall business hedgingInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
Series Image
  1. House

IL-16 House winner?

Live
93.9% votes counted·R +10.2
Resolves by winning party
458
Darin LaHood
58.8% · 173,191 votesRepublican party
Yes

Darin LaHood

58.8% · 173,191 votesRepublican party
Yes
Paul Nolley
41.2% · 121,320 votesDemocratic party
No

Paul Nolley

41.2% · 121,320 votesDemocratic party
No

People are also trading
Series Image
Illinois's 16th District margin of victory
Series Image
Illinois 16 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent
Series Image
IL-16 House election: Darin LaHood vote percent
Series Image
Mississippi Senate winner?
Series Image
Alaska Senate winner?
Series Image
NC-03 House winner?
Series Image
NY-17 House winner?
Series Image
AZ-02 House winner?
Series Image
CO-04 House winner?
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.

Darin LaHood

Odds
0% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2026
$0
Nolley121,320
LaHood173,191
$68,468 vol
Race Intel

IL-16 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentDarin LaHood (R)Running for re-election

IL-16 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Darin LaHoodR
    $4.2M
    2.3%
    $4.2M raised·2.3% small donors
  • Paul NolleyD
    $415.7K
    26%
    $415.7K raised·26% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past IL-16 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +22.7%2020R +21.5%

More Illinois and 2026 Midterm Races

More Illinois races

Illinois Governor race: Pritzker vs. BaileyIllinois Senate race: Stratton vs. Tracy

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 House forecast

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonTexas Governor race: Hinojosa vs. AbbottMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins

More races

Hawaii Governor race: Green vs. CorderyOregon Senate race: Merkley vs. SmithIdaho Governor race: Little vs. PickensWyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. ByrdDelaware Senate race: Coons vs. Katz
Mississippi Senate race: Colom vs. Hyde-Smith
Alaska Senate race
South Carolina Senate race: Andrews vs. Graham
Nebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. Burbank
Iowa Senate race: Turek vs. Hinson
Arkansas Governor race: Sanders vs. Love
Rhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKay
South Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. Ahlers
Wyoming Governor race: Barlow vs. Casner
Ohio Senate race: Brown vs. Husted