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IL-04 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Garcia vs. Getty | Kalshi

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House

IL-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Garcia

Nov 3 ·D +34.9margin forecast

Getty

$51,861 vol

Chance

Patty Garcia

Democratic party

95.1%

▲ 2.8

Patty Garcia

Democratic party

95.1%

▲ 2.8

Chris Getty

Independent

6%

▼ 1

Chris Getty

Independent

6%

▼ 1

Mayra Macías

Independent

--%

Mayra Macías

Independent

--%

Lupe Castillo

Republican party

<1%

Lupe Castillo

Republican party

<1%

Race Intel

IL-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentJesus Garcia (D)Not seeking re-election

IL-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Byron Sigcho LopezI
$188.4K
19%
$188.4K raised·19% small donors
Christopher GettyI
$188.2K
6.5%
$188.2K raised·6.5% small donors
Lupe CastilloR
—
—
Mayra MaciasI
$306.1K
19%
$306.1K raised·19% small donors
Patty GarciaD
$358.7K
7.0%
$358.7K raised·7.0% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past IL-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +28.3%2020D +46.4%

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IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent

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Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?

IL-04 House winner?

Chris Getty

Dollars$

Odds

6% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Which party will win the House?

Congress balance of power

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