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KY-04 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Gallrein vs. Strange | Kalshi

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House

KY-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Strange

Nov 3 ·R +20.4margin forecast

Gallrein

$69,714 vol

Chance

Ed Gallrein

Republican party

96.3%

▲ 0.7

Ed Gallrein

Republican party

96.3%

▲ 0.7

Melissa Claire Strange

Democratic party

3.7%

▼ 0.7

Melissa Claire Strange

Democratic party

3.7%

▼ 0.7

Race Intel

KY-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentThomas Massie (R)Lost primary

KY-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Ed GallreinR
$4M
14%
$4M raised·14% small donors
Melissa StrangeD
$146.1K
16%
$146.1K raised·16% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past KY-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +35.5%2020R +32.5%

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KY-04 House election: Ed Gallrein vote percent

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KY-04 House election: Melissa Strange vote percent

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Which party will win the Senate?

KY-04 House winner?

Ed Gallrein

Dollars$

Odds

97% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Which party will win the House?

Congress balance of power

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