Cash

Trending Midterms Elections Politics Sports Culture Crypto Commodities Climate Economics Mentions Finance Tech & Science

Predict Live126 AccountSocial

MARKETS INVEST LIVE126

Product

Kalshi Pro Invest Markets Incentive program Institutions API & developers

Company

About Kalshi Research Blog Careers Policy Center Brand Kit

Help

Help Center FAQ Fee schedule Trading hours Regulatory Trust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved

Privacy Data Terms of Service Trading Prohibitions FAQ for Finance Professionals

Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

KY-05 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Rogers vs. Pillersdorf | Kalshi

Series Image

House

KY-05 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Pillersdorf

Nov 3 ·R +49.4margin forecast

Rogers

$9,754 vol

Chance

Hal Rogers

Republican party

98.7%

▼ 0.1

Hal Rogers

Republican party

98.7%

▼ 0.1

Ned Pillersdorf

Democratic party

1.3%

▲ 0.1

Ned Pillersdorf

Democratic party

1.3%

▲ 0.1

Race Intel

KY-05 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentHarold Rogers (R)Running for re-election

KY-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Harold RogersR
$972.7K
0.1%
$972.7K raised·0.1% small donors
Ned PillersdorfD
$367.9K
11%
$367.9K raised·11% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past KY-05 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +63.9%2020R +59.4%

People are also trading

Series Image

Kentucky's 5th District margin of victory

Series Image

Kentucky 05 House General Election: voter turnout

Series Image

KY-05 House election: Harold Rogers vote percent

Series Image

KY-05 House election: Ned Pillersdorf vote percent

Series Image

Texas Senate winner?

Series Image

Who will control the House?

Series Image

Texas Governor winner?

Series Image

Kansas Senate winner?

Series Image

Who will control the Senate?

Series Image

California Governor winner? (Person)

More Kentucky and 2026 Midterm Races

More Kentucky races

Kentucky Senate race: Barr vs. Booker KY-06 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?

KY-05 House winner?

Hal Rogers

Dollars$

Odds

99% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Which party will win the House?

Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. Paxton Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. Rogers Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins Texas Governor race: Abbott vs. Hinojosa Ohio Senate race: Brown vs. Husted Iowa Senate race: Hinson vs. Turek South Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. Andrews Kansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. Marshall Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Minnesota Governor race: Klobuchar vs. Demuth South Dakota Senate race: Rounds vs. Bengs Michigan Governor race: Benson vs. James Oregon Governor race: Kotek vs. Drazan Tennessee Senate race: Hagerty vs. Bradshaw Tennessee Governor race: Blackburn vs. Green Oklahoma Governor race: Mazzei vs. Munson Arkansas Senate race: Cotton vs. Shoffner Illinois Governor race: Pritzker vs. Bailey Colorado Governor race: Weiser vs. Marx