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MT-02 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Downing vs. Miller | Kalshi

Series Image

House

MT-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Miller

Nov 3 ·R +24.1margin forecast

Downing

$24,824 vol

Chance

Troy Downing

Republican party

96.6%

▼ 0.4

Troy Downing

Republican party

96.6%

▼ 0.4

Brian Miller

Democratic party

3.4%

▲ 0.4

Brian Miller

Democratic party

3.4%

▲ 0.4

Race Intel

MT-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentTroy Downing (R)Running for re-election

MT-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Brian MillerD
$30.7K
32%
$30.7K raised·32% small donors
Michael EisenhauerI
$296.8K
0.9%
$296.8K raised·0.9% small donors
Troy DowningR
$2.7M
21%
$2.7M raised·21% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MT-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +29.5%2020R +26.8%

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