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House
MO-04 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Mark Alford
Republican party
95.8%
Yes
97.1¢
No
3.3¢
Mark Alford
Republican party
95.8%
Yes
97.1¢
No
3.3¢
Jordan Herrera
Democratic party
4.2%
Yes
3.4¢
No
97.9¢
Jordan Herrera
Democratic party
4.2%
Yes
3.4¢
No
97.9¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
MO-04 House winner?
Mark Alford
YES 97.1¢
NO 3.3¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Herrera
Nov 3
·
R +29.2
margin forecast
Alford
$37,948 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
MO-04 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Mark Alford (R)
Running for re-election
MO-04 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Jordan Herrera
D
$41.7K
37%
$41.7K raised
·
37% small donors
Mark Alford
R
$1.6M
1.1%
$1.6M raised
·
1.1% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past MO-04 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +21.2%
2020
R +18.8%