Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive140AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE140
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

PA-11 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Lloyd Smucker
Republican party
95.5%

Lloyd Smucker

Republican party
95.5%
Nancy Mannion
Democratic party
4.5%

Nancy Mannion

Democratic party
4.5%
People are also trading
Series Image
Pennsylvania Governor winner?
Series Image
Pennsylvania's 11th District margin of victory
Series Image
Pennsylvania 11 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
PA-01 House winner?
Series Image
PA-10 House winner?
Series Image
PA-07 House winner?
Series Image
PA-09 House winner?
Series Image
Pennsylvania State Senate winner?
Series Image
PA-15 House winner?
Series Image
PA-08 House winner?

More Pennsylvania and 2026 Midterm Races

More Pennsylvania races

Pennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. GarrityPA-07 House racePA-01 House racePA-08 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Michigan Governor race: Benson vs. JamesTennessee Senate race: Hagerty vs. BradshawSouth Dakota Senate race: Rounds vs. BengsOregon Governor race: Kotek vs. DrazanArkansas Senate race: Cotton vs. ShoffnerOklahoma Governor race: Mazzei vs. MunsonNew Hampshire Governor race: Ayotte vs. WarmingtonColorado Governor race: Weiser vs. MarxTennessee Governor race: Blackburn vs. GreenIllinois Governor race: Pritzker vs. Bailey
PA-11 House winner?

Lloyd Smucker

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Mannion
Nov 3 ·R +16.2margin forecast
Smucker
$10,926 vol
Race Intel

PA-11 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentLloyd Smucker (R)Running for re-election

PA-11 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Lloyd SmuckerR
    $1.8M
    0.4%
    $1.8M raised·0.4% small donors
  • Nancy MannionD
    $304.5K
    24%
    $304.5K raised·24% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past PA-11 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +21.4%2020R +21.3%