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  1. House

CA-01 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Mike McGuire
Democratic party
96.9%
▲ 1.8

Mike McGuire

Democratic party
96.9%
▲ 1.8
James Gallagher
Republican party
3.1%
▼ 1.8

James Gallagher

Republican party
3.1%
▼ 1.8

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California's 1st District margin of victory
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CA-01 House election: Mike McGuire vote percent
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Texas Governor winner?
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
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CA-01 House winner?

Mike McGuire

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
McGuire
Nov 3 ·D +16.8margin forecast
Gallagher
$21,623 vol
Race Intel

CA-01 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJames Gallagher (R)Running for re-election

CA-01 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • James GallagherR
    $1.5M
    5.0%
    $1.5M raised·5.0% small donors
  • Mike McGuireD
    $1.8M
    26%
    $1.8M raised·26% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-01 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +12.2%2020D +17.9%

More California and 2026 Midterm Races

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Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 House forecast

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