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  1. House

KS-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Ron Estes
Republican party
96.7%
▼ 0.9

Ron Estes

Republican party
96.7%
▼ 0.9
Katy Tyndell
Democratic party
3.3%
▲ 0.9

Katy Tyndell

Democratic party
3.3%
▲ 0.9

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Kansas's 4th District margin of victory
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Kansas 04 House General Election: voter turnout
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KS-04 House election: Katy Tyndell vote percent
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KS-04 House election: Ron Estes vote percent
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Michigan Senate winner?
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Florida Governor winner?
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Texas Governor winner?
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
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KS-04 House winner?

Ron Estes

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Tyndell
Nov 3 ·R +14.8margin forecast
Estes
$20,634 vol
Race Intel

KS-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentRon Estes (R)Running for re-election

KS-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Katy TyndellD
    $546K
    16%
    $546K raised·16% small donors
  • Ron EstesR
    $2.2M
    0.5%
    $2.2M raised·0.5% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past KS-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +23.3%2020R +21.7%

More Kansas and 2026 Midterm Races

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2026 midterm predictions2026 House forecast

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