Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive160AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE160
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
Series Image
  1. House

KY-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Ed Gallrein
Republican party
97.4%
▲ 1.1

Ed Gallrein

Republican party
97.4%
▲ 1.1
Melissa Claire Strange
Democratic party
2.6%
▼ 1.1

Melissa Claire Strange

Democratic party
2.6%
▼ 1.1

People are also trading
Series Image
Kentucky's 4th District margin of victory
Series Image
Kentucky 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
KY-04 House election: Ed Gallrein vote percent
Series Image
KY-04 House election: Melissa Strange vote percent
Series Image
Who will control the House?
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Who will control the Senate?
Series Image
Michigan Senate winner?
Series Image
Florida Governor winner?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
KY-04 House winner?

Ed Gallrein

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Strange
Nov 3 ·R +21.6margin forecast
Gallrein
$83,777 vol
Race Intel

KY-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentThomas Massie (R)Lost primary

KY-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Ed GallreinR
    $4M
    14%
    $4M raised·14% small donors
  • Melissa StrangeD
    $146.1K
    16%
    $146.1K raised·16% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past KY-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +35.5%2020R +32.5%

More Kentucky and 2026 Midterm Races

More Kentucky races

Kentucky Senate race: Barr vs. BookerKY-06 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 House forecast

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Turek vs. HinsonKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Rhode Island Governor race: Foulkes vs. BlockSouth Carolina Governor race: Wilson vs. JohnsonNebraska Governor race: Pillen vs. WalzMassachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. DeatonNew Mexico Senate race: Luján vs. MarkerVirginia Senate race: Warner vs. MizusawaColorado Senate race: Hickenlooper vs. BaisleyOklahoma Senate race: Hern vs. ThomasIllinois Senate race: Stratton vs. TracyWest Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. Anderson