Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive115AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE115
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
Series Image
  1. House

MD-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Low volume
Chance
Johnny Olszewski
Democratic party
98.5%

Johnny Olszewski

Democratic party
98.5%
Dave Wallace
Republican party
1.5%

Dave Wallace

Republican party
1.5%

People are also trading
Series Image
Maryland's 2nd District margin of victory
Series Image
Maryland 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
MD-02 House election: Johnny Olszewski vote percent
Series Image
MD-02 House election: Dave Wallace vote percent
Series Image
Who will control the House?
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Who will control the Senate?
Series Image
Michigan Senate winner?
Series Image
Florida Governor winner?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
MD-02 House winner?

Johnny Olszewski

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Olszewski
Nov 3 ·D +28.5margin forecast
Wallace
$17,496 vol
Race Intel

MD-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJohnny Olszewski (D)Running for re-election

MD-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Dave WallaceR
    $20.2K
    17%
    $20.2K raised·17% small donors
  • Johnny OlszewskiD
    $1.2M
    3.0%
    $1.2M raised·3.0% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MD-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +18.3%2020D +20.8%

More Maryland and 2026 Midterm Races

More Maryland races

Maryland Governor race: Moore vs. Cox

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 House forecast

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Turek vs. HinsonKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Georgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. JacksonIowa Governor race: Sand vs. LahnNew Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. SununuMississippi Senate race: Hyde-Smith vs. ColomWisconsin Governor race: Crowley vs. TiffanyArizona Governor race: Hobbs vs. BiggsMontana Senate race: Alme vs. BodnarPennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. GarrityIdaho Senate race: Risch vs. AchillesVermont Governor race: Scott vs. Janoo