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House
MT-02 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Troy Downing
Republican party
98.3%
▲ 1.3
Yes
99¢
No
2.7¢
Troy Downing
Republican party
98.3%
▲ 1.3
Yes
99¢
No
2.7¢
Brian Miller
Democratic party
1.7%
▼ 1.3
Yes
2.5¢
No
99.4¢
Brian Miller
Democratic party
1.7%
▼ 1.3
Yes
2.5¢
No
99.4¢
MT-02 House Voter Turnout
MT-02 House Vote Percent
Republican Margin of Victory
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
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Candidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
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MT-02 House winner?
Troy Downing
YES 99¢
NO 2.7¢
3.5% Interest
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Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
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Miller
Nov 3
·
R +24.0
margin forecast
Downing
$27,331 vol
1D
1W
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Race Intel
MT-02 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Troy Downing (R)
Running for re-election
MT-02 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Brian Miller
D
$30.7K
32%
$30.7K raised
·
32% small donors
Michael Eisenhauer
I
$296.8K
0.9%
$296.8K raised
·
0.9% small donors
Troy Downing
R
$2.7M
21%
$2.7M raised
·
21% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past MT-02 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +29.5%
2020
R +26.8%
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