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House
TN-02 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Low volume
Chance
Tim Burchett
Republican party
97.1%
▲ 0.3
Yes
98.2¢
No
3¢
Tim Burchett
Republican party
97.1%
▲ 0.3
Yes
98.2¢
No
3¢
Michaela Barnett
Democratic party
2.9%
▼ 0.3
Yes
2.9¢
No
97.9¢
Michaela Barnett
Democratic party
2.9%
▼ 0.3
Yes
2.9¢
No
97.9¢
TN-02 House Voter Turnout
TN-02 House Vote Percent
Republican Margin of Victory
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
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TN-02 House winner?
Tim Burchett
YES 98.2¢
NO 3¢
3.5% Interest
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Odds
98% chance
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Nov 3, 2027
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Barnett
Nov 3
·
R +26.4
margin forecast
Burchett
$13,132 vol
1D
1W
1M
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Race Intel
TN-02 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Tim Burchett (R)
Running for re-election
TN-02 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Michaela Barnett
D
$397.6K
39%
$397.6K raised
·
39% small donors
Tim Burchett
R
$2.4M
57%
$2.4M raised
·
57% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past TN-02 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +33.9%
2020
R +29.2%
More Tennessee and 2026 Midterm Races
More Tennessee races
Tennessee Governor race: Blackburn vs. Green
Tennessee Senate race: Hagerty vs. Bradshaw
TN-09 House race
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