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  1. Senate

Iowa Senate winner?

Live
Resolves by winning party
2
Combo
Chance
Josh Turek
Democratic party
86%
▲ 34

Josh Turek

Democratic party
86%
▲ 34
Ashley Hinson
Republican party
14%
▼ 34

Ashley Hinson

Republican party
14%
▼ 34

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Will Josh Turek outperform the polls?
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
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Combo
Iowa Senate winner?

Josh Turek

Odds
87% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Turek
D +4.7margin forecast
Hinson
$15,121,676 vol
Race Intel

Iowa Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJoni Ernst (R)Not seeking re-election

Iowa Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Josh TurekD46.4%
    46.4%
    $6.3M
    43%
    $6.3M raised·43% small donors
  • Ashley HinsonR46.3%
    46.3%
    $13.5M
    11%
    $13.5M raised·11% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Iowa Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +13.2%2020R +8.2%

More Iowa and 2026 Midterm Races

More Iowa races

Iowa Governor race: Sand vs. LahnIA-01 House raceIA-03 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

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2026 midterm predictions2026 Senate forecast

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