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Tech & Science
AI
Best AI at the end of 2025?
Gemini
Yes
ChatGPT
No
$18,689,704 vol
7 markets
AI
Which AI will be the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena?
Gemini
No
ChatGPT
No
$5,410,647 vol
5 markets
AI
What will be the top AI model this week?
gemini-3-pro
No
claude-opus-4-5-20251101
No
$4,730,364 vol
10 markets
AI
Which companies will have a #1 AI model in 2025?
xAI
Yes
Google
Yes
$3,794,519 vol
11 markets
AI
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Jan 1, 2026?
OpenAI
Yes
Anthropic
No
$2,346,354 vol
7 markets
AI
Best AI in January 2026?
Gemini
Yes
ChatGPT
No
$2,289,297 vol
7 markets
AI
Best AI in November 2025?
Gemini
Yes
ChatGPT
No
$1,116,746 vol
6 markets
AI
Best AI on January 24th?
Gemini
Yes
ChatGPT
No
$884,286 vol
7 markets
AI
Best AI on January 17th?
Gemini
Yes
ChatGPT
No
$650,528 vol
7 markets
AI
Best AI in October 2025?
Gemini
Yes
Claude
No
$196,977 vol
6 markets
Tech & Science
Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess in 2025?
Yes
No
$106,638 vol
1 market
AI
Will Anthropic release Claude 5 in 2025?
Yes
No
$32,961 vol
1 market
Tech & Science
Will any top AI company decide to not release their best models in 2025?
Yes
No
$13,824 vol
1 market
Sports
Sports
Alpha Arena Season 1.5 new baseline winning model?
MYSTERY-MODEL
Yes
GPT-5.1
No
$13,903 vol
8 markets
Sports
Alpha Arena Season 1.5 aggregate index winning model?
MYSTERY-MODEL
Yes
GPT-5.1
No
$12,453 vol
8 markets
Sports
Alpha Arena season 1.5 max leverage winning model?
GPT-5.1
Yes
MYSTERY-MODEL
No
$8,709 vol
8 markets
Sports
Alpha Arena Season 1.5 monk mode winning model?
DEEPSEEK-CHAT-V3.1
Yes
GEMINI-3-PRO
No
$8,648 vol
8 markets
Sports
Alpha Arena season 1.5 situational awareness winning model?
MYSTERY-MODEL
Yes
KIMI-K2-THINKING
No
$8,286 vol
8 markets
Finance
Finance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
OpenAI
3.29
x
27
%
Anthropic
1.26
x
77
%
$228,477 vol
2 markets
Product launches
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Jan 1, 2028
2.01
x
45
%
Before Apr 1, 2028
1.76
x
51
%
$57,291 vol
13 markets
IPOs
Which Companies will Officially Announce an IPO in 2025?
Medline
Yes
Klarna
Yes
$6,013,589 vol
25 markets
General
Pro Football
Which brands will advertise during the Big Game?
Coinbase
Yes
Netflix
Yes
$72,200,453 vol
28 markets
Mentions
Mentions
What will Dario Amodei say during the NYT DealBook Summit?
Tax
Yes
Economy / Economic
Yes
$80,273 vol
12 markets
Anthropic Odds & Predictions 2026
Anthropic Odds & Predictions
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