UFC Predictions
What Kalshi’s markets expect on UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott: the favourite in each of 13 bouts still to be fought, the chance traders give them, and how they are most likely to win.
Live market pricesUpdated Wednesday, Oct 14, 2026 · 7:08 PM ET
Where these numbers come from: Kalshi prices: KXUFCFIGHT for each bout, KXUFCMOV for the method of victory, KXUFCMOF, KXUFCDISTANCE and KXUFCROUNDS for how it ends. Bout order follows the times the exchange expects each result, main event last.
OCT 17The pick is the fighter the market prices higher; Likeliest way is the method it prices highest for that fighter.
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott predictions
| Bout | Pick | Chance | Likeliest way |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buckley vs MalottMain event | Mike Malott | 54% | -- |
| Blanchfield vs JasudaviciusCo-main | Erin Blanchfield | 76% | -- |
| Nelson vs PerezBout 3 | Cristian Perez | 76% | -- |
| Barriault vs DaukausBout 4 | Kyle Daukaus | 66% | -- |
| Jourdain vs Cuamba (Oct 17)Bout 5 | Louis Jourdain | 62% | -- |
| Nallo vs LandwehrBout 6 | Mandel Nallo | 72% | -- |
| Boser vs DinizBout 7 | Jhonata Diniz | 70% | -- |
| Anheliger vs KoslowBout 8 | Steven Koslow | 59% | -- |
| Croden vs ChandlerBout 9 | Melissa Croden | 72% | Decision · 41% |
| Chovancek vs You (Oct 17)Bout 10 | Cody Chovancek | 55% | -- |
| Leblanc vs GalantiBout 11 | Nick Galanti | 84% | -- |
| Mahjoub vs FaglierBout 12 | Joel Faglier | 52% | -- |
| Cerminara vs StillerBout 13 | Katlyn Cerminara | 71% | Decision · 54% |
OCT 24The pick is the fighter the market prices higher.
UFC 333 predictions
| Bout | Pick | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Volkanovski vs Evloev (Oct 24)Main event | Movsar Evloev | 51% |
| Yan vs Dvalishvili (Oct 24)Co-main | Petr Yan | 61% |
| Kavanagh vs Temirov (Oct 24)Bout 3 | Loneer Kavanagh | 53% |
| Volkov vs Kuniev (Oct 24)Bout 4 | Alexander Volkov | 56% |
| Murzakanov vs Reyes (Oct 24)Bout 5 | Azamat Murzakanov | 67% |
| Krylov vs Yakhyaev (Oct 24)Bout 6 | Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev | 80% |
| Magomedov vs Rowston (Oct 24)Bout 7 | Abusupiyan Magomedov | 51% |
| Dawson vs Aliev (Oct 24)Bout 8 | Grant Dawson | 54% |
| Pico vs Keita (Oct 24)Bout 9 | Losene Keita | 53% |
| Thicknesse vs Chopurov (Oct 24)Bout 10 | -- | -- |
LAST CARD
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan results
| Bout | Winner | Method |
|---|---|---|
| Allen vs DuncanMain event | Brendan Allen | Submission |
| Camilo vs HerbertCo-main | Jai Herbert | Decision |
| Godinez vs SouzaBout 3 | Lupita Godinez | Decision |
| Fili vs Kamaka IIIBout 4 | Andre Fili | KO/TKO |
| Walker vs MeerschaertBout 5 | Julius Walker | KO/TKO |
| Wellmaker vs TanziloviBout 6 | Otari Tanzilovi | KO/TKO |
| Prado vs BonfimBout 7 | Francisco Prado | KO/TKO |
| Price vs ShahbazyanBout 8 | Niko Price | KO/TKO |
| Franco vs RibeiroBout 9 | Brendson Ribeiro | Submission |
| Frye vs HarrisBout 10 | Allen Rocky Frye | KO/TKO |
| Pereira vs ZheleznyakovaBout 11 | Alice Pereira | KO/TKO |
| Kareckaite vs GattoBout 12 | Draw or no contest | Draw/No Contest |
METHOD
How to read this page
A prediction here is a market price, not a model: the pick is the fighter traders price higher to win, and Chance is that price. Level prices are a toss-up.
Likeliest way reads the method-of-victory market: of the pick’s KO/TKO, submission and decision prices, the highest. It can be well under 50% — it is the likeliest route, not a likely one.
FAQ
Questions
Who will win Buckley vs Malott?
The market favours Mike Malott at 54%.
Where do these UFC predictions come from?
From Kalshi’s prediction markets: each number is the price traders are paying for that outcome, which reads as a probability. Nothing on this page is a model or a tipster’s pick.
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