
| Bout | Winner | Method | Ended | At start |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dvalishvili vs YanMain event | Petr YanUpset | Decision | R5 5:00 | 22% |
| Pantoja vs vanCo-main | Joshua vanUpset | KO/TKO | R1 0:26 | 32% |
| Moreno vs TairaBout 3 | Tatsuro Taira | KO/TKO | R2 2:24 | 55% |
| Cejudo vs TalbottBout 4 | Payton Talbott | Decision | R3 5:00 | 69% |
| Blachowicz vs GuskovBout 5 | Draw or no contest | -- | -- | -- |
| Dawson vs TorresBout 6 | Manuel TorresUpset | KO/TKO | R1 2:25 | 31% |
| McKinney vs DuncanBout 7 | Chris DuncanUpset | Submission | R1 2:30 | 51% |
| Barber vs SilvaBout 8 | Maycee Barber | Decision | R3 5:00 | 68% |
| Sadykhov vs ZiamBout 9 | Fares Ziam | KO/TKO | R2 4:59 | 65% |
| Vettori vs FerreiraBout 10 | Brunno FerreiraUpset | Decision | R3 5:00 | 48% |
| Barboza vs TurnerBout 11 | Jalin Turner | KO/TKO | R1 2:24 | 82% |
| Baraniewski vs AslanBout 12 | Iwo Baraniewski | KO/TKO | R1 1:29 | 65% |
| Abdul-Malik vs TrocoliBout 13 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | Submission | R1 1:09 | 91% |
| Naimov vs SantosBout 14 | Mairon Santos | KO/TKO | R3 0:21 | 69% |
Prices are Kalshi’s: what a contract paying $1 if that outcome happens costs, read as a probability. A dash is a contract nobody has traded and whose book is too wide to read.
The card is ordered from the main event down, by when the exchange expects each result. Results come from each market’s grading. Kalshi’s method-of-victory markets began in January 2026, so the method here comes from the fight data.
Ended is the round and the time into it, from the fight data, shown where that data names the same winner as the market.
At start is the winner’s price at the last trade before the card’s first scheduled bout. Upset marks a winner the market priced lower then.