
| Bout | Winner | Method | Ended | At start |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chimaev vs StricklandMain event | Sean StricklandUpset | Decision | R5 5:00 | 19% |
| Van vs TairaCo-main | Joshua VanUpset | KO/TKO | R5 1:32 | 42% |
| Volkov vs Cortes-AcostaBout 3 | Alexander Volkov | Decision | R3 5:00 | 58% |
| Brady vs BuckleyBout 4 | Sean BradyUpset | Decision | R3 5:00 | 35% |
| Green vs StephensBout 5 | King Green | Submission | R1 4:20 | 79% |
| Gautier vs DiazBout 6 | Ateba Gautier | KO/TKO | R2 1:10 | 90% |
| Alvarez vs AmosovBout 7 | Yaroslav Amosov | Submission | R2 1:13 | 64% |
| Miller vs GordonBout 8 | Jim MillerUpset | Submission | R1 3:29 | 30% |
| Dawson vs RebeckiBout 9 | Grant Dawson | Submission | R3 4:42 | 58% |
| Kopylov vs TulioBout 10 | Roman KopylovUpset | Decision | R3 5:00 | 38% |
| Susurkaev vs SantosBout 11 | Baisangur Susurkaev | Submission | R3 4:12 | 88% |
| Carpenter vs OchoaBout 12 | Jose Ochoa | Decision | R3 5:00 | 62% |
| Sabatini vs GomisBout 13 | Pat Sabatini | Decision | R3 5:00 | 61% |
Prices are Kalshi’s: what a contract paying $1 if that outcome happens costs, read as a probability. A dash is a contract nobody has traded and whose book is too wide to read.
The card is ordered from the main event down, by when the exchange expects each result. Results come from each market’s grading; the method is the method-of-victory contract that settled Yes.
Ended is the round and the time into it, from the fight data, shown where that data names the same winner as the market.
At start is the winner’s price at the last trade before the card’s first scheduled bout. Upset marks a winner the market priced lower then.