
| Bout | Winner | Method | Ended | At start |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor McGregor vs Max HollowayMain event | Max Holloway | KO/TKO | R1 1:09 | 72% |
| Saint-Denis vs PimblettCo-main | Paddy PimblettUpset | Submission | R1 0:52 | 45% |
| Sandhagen vs BautistaBout 3 | Mario BautistaUpset | Decision | R3 5:00 | 44% |
| Royval vs KavanaghBout 4 | Brandon RoyvalUpset | Submission | R3 3:40 | 35% |
| Green vs McKinneyBout 5 | Bobby Green | KO/TKO | -- | 51% |
| Krylov vs WhittakerBout 6 | Robert Whittaker | KO/TKO | R3 1:01 | 55% |
| Steveson vs EllisonBout 7 | Gable Steveson | KO/TKO | R1 2:31 | 90% |
| Garbrandt vs YanezBout 8 | Adrian Yanez | KO/TKO | R1 2:47 | 77% |
| Riley vs IIIBout 9 | Luke Riley | KO/TKO | R1 3:03 | 70% |
| Cortez vs WangBout 10 | Cong Wang | Decision | R3 5:00 | 56% |
| Pinas vs AlmeidaBout 11 | Damian Pinas | KO/TKO | R1 4:44 | 70% |
| Basharat vs GarzaBout 12 | Farid Basharat | Decision | R3 5:00 | 85% |
| Gandra vs ReeseBout 13 | Ryan Gandra | KO/TKO | R1 1:15 | 57% |
| Osbourne vs DurdenBout 14 | Cancelled | -- | -- | -- |
| Costa vs DurdenBout 15 | Alessandro Costa | Submission | R2 2:19 | 67% |
Prices are Kalshi’s: what a contract paying $1 if that outcome happens costs, read as a probability. A dash is a contract nobody has traded and whose book is too wide to read.
The card is ordered from the main event down, by when the exchange expects each result. Results come from each market’s grading; the method is the method-of-victory contract that settled Yes.
Ended is the round and the time into it, from the fight data, shown where that data names the same winner as the market.
At start is the winner’s price at the last trade before the card’s first scheduled bout. Upset marks a winner the market priced lower then.