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Elections

All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
Senate

Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

D-House, D-Senate
D-House, D-Senate
D-House, D-Senate
2.01x
D-House, R-Senate
D-House, R-Senate
D-House, R-Senate
2.59x
$11,571,877 vol4 markets
House

How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?

7
2.29x
8
3.18x
$227,742 vol7 markets
House

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Below 193
4.31x
203-207
5.90x
$2,657,270 vol11 markets
Election Combos

Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo

Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House
1.62x
Independent wins House; Democrats win Governor & Senate
2.73x
$16,973 vol12 markets
Senate

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Above 52
4.31x
51
5.90x
$2,409,999 vol10 markets
Senate

Closest Senate race this year?

Texas
Texas
Texas
5.90x
Iowa
Iowa
Iowa
7.25x
$413,035 vol17 markets
House

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

230-233
6.74x
226-229
7.85x
$1,630,110 vol12 markets
Senate

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

50
5.90x
49
6.29x
$762,257 vol15 markets
House

How many House seats will Democrats win in California?

48
1.36x
47
5.25x
$12,375 vol8 markets
Senate

Maine-Texas Senate Combo

James Talarico and Troy Jackson
2.14x
Ken Paxton and Susan Collins
3.52x
$551,828 vol6 markets
House

How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?

12
3.80x
11
4.31x
$40,776 vol8 markets
Senate

Blue wave this year?

Yes
1.29x
No
3.80x
$531,456 vol1 market
Senate

Maine Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep
1.46x
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
2.81x
$31,643 vol4 markets
Governor Combos

Number of Republican governors after the midterms?

At least 24
1.65x
At least 25
2.66x
$4,224 vol8 markets
House

Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 8 to 10%
3.80x
Democrats, 6 to 8%
4.13x
$1,446,717 vol10 markets
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in Michigan?

8
1.65x
9
5.56x
$59,997 vol7 markets
Governor

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?

Democratic Party
1.73x
Republican Party
3.08x
$218,933 vol3 markets
Governor Combos

How many Governors will lose reelection this year?

Exactly 3
1.79x
Exactly 4
3.96x
$6,621 vol6 markets
Senate

Iowa Governor-Senate combo

Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win
1.93x
Rob Sand and Josh Turek win
2.59x
$51,783 vol4 markets
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?

7
5.90x
5
6.29x
$2,636 vol9 markets
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona?

5
1.46x
6
4.31x
$21,062 vol6 markets
Senate

Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate?

Georgia Senate
1.57x
North Carolina Senate
2.24x
$17,298 vol2 markets
Senate

Blue tsunami this year?

Yes
2.29x
No
1.65x
$388,045 vol1 market
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in Tennessee?

0
1.05x
2
10.4x
$5,784 vol4 markets