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Elections

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

56
1.10x
57
11.7x
$8,683,136 vol

Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 14 to 16%
1.42x
Democrats, 12 to 14%
3.29x
$7,992,261 vol

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Below 45
1.05x
45
31.2x
$16,031,367 vol

Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)

Above 56
1.50x
56
5.90x
$363,840 vol

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Above 52
1.01x
45
--
$25,381,809 vol

Closest Senate race this year?

Mississippi
Mississippi
1.08x
Alaska
Alaska
15.6x
$3,468,769 vol

Blue wave this year?

Yes
1.02x
No
46.8x
$13,382,744 vol

Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo

Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House
1.08x
Democrats win House & Governor; Republican wins Senate
93.5x
$70,263 vol

Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?

Yes
1.01x
No
46.8x
$1,664,547 vol

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Below 193
1.01x
193-197
--
$10,045,984 vol

Blue tsunami this year?

Yes
1.02x
No
46.8x
$3,554,375 vol

How many House seats will Democrats win in California?

48
1.02x
49
11.7x
$76,179 vol

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)

Above 259
1.15x
Above 262
7.25x
$162,654 vol

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Above 249
1.02x
Below 210
--
$10,998,179 vol

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Lula, Eizenkot, Democrats
1.62x
Lula, Netanyahu, Democrats
11.7x
$32,353 vol

Closest Governor race this year?

Kansas
Kansas
1.10x
Alaska
Alaska
7.85x
$429,560 vol

Alaska Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep
1.02x
Republicans sweep
93.5x
$182,684 vol

Which states will Republicans win a trifecta this year?

Alaska
Alaska
93.5x
Kansas
Kansas
93.5x
$12,445 vol

Iowa: Sand’s margin vs. Turek’s margin?

Sand by 6-9
1.05x
Sand by 12+
2.09x
$36,834 vol

Midterms: Blue trickle?

Yes
1.01x
No
46.8x
$249,464 vol

How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress this year?

At least 5
1.07x
At least 3
1.07x
$27,434 vol

How many House seats will Democrats win in Tennessee?

1
1.08x
0
7.25x
$10,774 vol

Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate?

Georgia Senate
Georgia Senate
2.46x
North Carolina Senate
North Carolina Senate
--
$28,261 vol

How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota?

5
--
Above 5
93.5x
$46,192 vol