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  1. Senate

Michigan Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
Combo
Chance
Abdul El-Sayed
Democratic party
68%
▼ 1

Abdul El-Sayed

Democratic party
68%
▼ 1
Mike Rogers
Republican party
32%
▲ 1

Mike Rogers

Republican party
32%
▲ 1
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Michigan Senate margin of victory
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Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
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Michigan Senate margin of victory
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Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
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Michigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?
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Michigan Governor-Senate combo
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Genesee County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
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Kent County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent

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Combo
Michigan Senate winner?

Abdul El-Sayed

Odds
70% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
El-Sayed
Nov 3 ·D +2.3margin forecast
Rogers
$11,341,294 vol
Race Intel

Michigan Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentGary Peters (D)Not seeking re-election

Michigan Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Abdul El-SayedD48.5%
    48.5%
    $14.5M
    29%
    $14.5M raised·29% small donors
  • Mike RogersR45.0%
    45.0%
    $20.5M
    20%
    $20.5M raised·20% small donors

El-Sayed vs. Rogers Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageEl-Sayed +3.548.5% vs. 45.0%
Kalshi oddsEl-Sayed 68%Rogers 32% · $8.1M traded
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Michigan Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +1.4%2020D +2.8%