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Who will win the Romanian presidential election?
Who will win the Romanian presidential election?
George Simion
74%
Yes
/
No
Nicusor Dan
28%
Yes
/
No
$1,862,424
Who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028?
Who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028?
Gavin Newsom
12%
Yes
/
No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
Yes
/
No
$4,095,286
Who will be the Republican nominee in 2028?
Who will be the Republican nominee in 2028?
J.D. Vance
41%
Yes
/
No
Tulsi Gabbard
10%
Yes
/
No
$1,630,648
Powell out as Chair this year?
Powell out as Chair this year?
12%
Yes
$100 → $784
No
$100 → $111
$294,136
Next government of Canada?
Next government of Canada?
Liberal minority
93%
Yes
/
No
Liberal minority with NDP support
7%
Yes
/
No
$5,397,125
What will Powell say during his May FOMC press conference?
What will Powell say during his May FOMC press conference?
Projection
41%
Yes
/
No
Median
40%
Yes
/
No
$817,125
What countries will Trump visit in the first year?
What countries will Trump visit in the first year?
South Korea
51%
Yes
/
No
India
48%
Yes
/
No
$738,200
Republican nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
Republican nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
Jack Ciattarelli
81%
Yes
/
No
Bill Spadea
26%
Yes
/
No
$76,153
Will Elon Musk leave the DOGE?
Will Elon Musk leave the DOGE?
Before Jan 1, 2026
55%
Yes
/
No
Before Jul 5, 2026
59%
Yes
/
No
$1,132,668
Democratic nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
Democratic nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
Mikie Sherrill
57%
Yes
/
No
Steven Fulop
22%
Yes
/
No
$113,969
Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
11%
Yes
$100 → $690
No
$100 → $111
$91,473
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year?
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year?
0
37%
Yes
/
No
1 to 100
20%
Yes
/
No
$255,569
How many government employees will Trump and Elon cut in 2025?
How many government employees will Trump and Elon cut in 2025?
More than 250,000
58%
Yes
/
No
More than 500,000
12%
Yes
/
No
$857,308
How many seats will the Liberal Party win in the Canadian election?
How many seats will the Liberal Party win in the Canadian election?
160 to 169
86%
Yes
/
No
170 to 179
13%
Yes
/
No
$1,028,362
Will 'no tax on tips' become law this year?
Will 'no tax on tips' become law this year?
73%
Yes
$100 → $128
No
$100 → $352
$374,780
Who will be the Dem NYC Mayor nominee this year?
Who will be the Dem NYC Mayor nominee this year?
Andrew Cuomo
86%
Yes
/
No
Zohran Mamdani
11%
Yes
/
No
$1,188,601
How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
At least 1 billion
19%
Yes
/
No
At least 25 billion
16%
Yes
/
No
$3,427,967
Will Trump release any of the Epstein Files this Year?
Will Trump release any of the Epstein Files this Year?
30%
Yes
$100 → $298
No
$100 → $140
$3,682,773
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
Before September 2025
80%
Yes
/
No
Before June 2025
19%
Yes
/
No
$408,365
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?
2
51%
Yes
/
No
3
47%
Yes
/
No
$684,366
Who will visit the White House before January?
Who will visit the White House before January?
Joe Rogan
46%
Yes
/
No
Dave Portnoy
49%
Yes
/
No
$1,071,091·Annually
When will Trump end his tariffs against China?
When will Trump end his tariffs against China?
Before Dec 2025
30%
Yes
/
No
Before Aug 2025
23%
Yes
/
No
$60,520
Who will leave their role in Trump Administration this year?
Who will leave their role in Trump Administration this year?
Pete Hegseth
42%
Yes
/
No
Peter Navarro
39%
Yes
/
No
$430,605
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Norwegian election?
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Norwegian election?
Labour party
73%
Yes
/
No
Progress party
21%
Yes
/
No
$9,375
Who will win the South Korean presidential election?
Who will win the South Korean presidential election?
Lee Jae-myung
79%
Yes
/
No
Kim Moon-soo
6%
Yes
/
No
$137,882
How high will be national debt be during the Trump Administration?
How high will be national debt be during the Trump Administration?
$45 trillion
55%
Yes
/
No
$50 trillion
40%
Yes
/
No
$31,483
What will Leavitt say in her next press briefing?
What will Leavitt say in her next press briefing?
Mexico
Yes
/
No
Immigration
52%
Yes
/
No
$3,094,174
The President's RCP approval rating on Friday?
The President's RCP approval rating on Friday?
44.5 or below
25%
Yes
/
No
45.1 to 45.5
32%
Yes
/
No
$2,462,535·Weekly
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first year?
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first year?
78%
Yes
$100 → $121
No
$100 → $431
$717,904
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Pete Hegseth
35%
Yes
/
No
Howard Lutnick
22%
Yes
/
No
$690,229
What states will create crypto reserves this year?
What states will create crypto reserves this year?
Texas
51%
Yes
/
No
Florida
26%
Yes
/
No
$42,707
Which countries will impose tariffs on the US before Q3 2025?
Which countries will impose tariffs on the US before Q3 2025?
European Union
16%
Yes
/
No
Brazil
21%
Yes
/
No
$201,343
Will Ukraine hold a presidential election this year?
Will Ukraine hold a presidential election this year?
25%
Yes
$100 → $362
No
$100 → $128
$40,588
Which party will win the House next year?
Which party will win the House next year?
Democratic Party
80%
Yes
/
No
Republican Party
20%
Yes
/
No
$3,263,424
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Ohio?
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Ohio?
Vivek Ramaswamy
80%
Yes
/
No
Jim Tressel
11%
Yes
/
No
$111,167
Who will Trump meet with this year?
Who will Trump meet with this year?
Vladimir Putin
57%
Yes
/
No
Xi Jinping
49%
Yes
/
No
$240,581
How many Senate ties will J.D. Vance break this year?
How many Senate ties will J.D. Vance break this year?
3
31%
Yes
/
No
2
25%
Yes
/
No
$55,500
When will NJ Transit workers go on strike?
When will NJ Transit workers go on strike?
Before Jun 1, 2025
77%
Yes
/
No
$22,767
Federal crypto regulation this year?
Federal crypto regulation this year?
63%
Yes
$100 → $158
No
$100 → $205
$44,375
Will Planned Parenthood be defunded this year?
Will Planned Parenthood be defunded this year?
29%
Yes
$100 → $318
No
$100 → $128
$30,006
What will be in the next reconciliation bill?
What will be in the next reconciliation bill?
Changes to Medicaid’s matching rates
42%
Yes
/
No
"No tax on tips"
69%
Yes
/
No
$89,221
New Supreme Court justice confirmed this year?
New Supreme Court justice confirmed this year?
21%
Yes
$100 → $352
No
$100 → $125
$304,210·Annually
What agencies will have their budgets cut this year?
What agencies will have their budgets cut this year?
CFPB
32%
Yes
/
No
SEC
95%
Yes
/
No
$81,328
Will PBS and NPR be defunded this year?
Will PBS and NPR be defunded this year?
25%
Yes
$100 → $357
No
$100 → $126
$77,203
Congress banned from trading stocks this year?
Congress banned from trading stocks this year?
12%
Yes
$100 → $738
No
$100 → $106
$140,636
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy resign?
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy resign?
13%
Yes
$100 → $595
No
$100 → $109
$51,929
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve this year?
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve this year?
43%
Yes
$100 → $228
No
$100 → $164
$1,265,144
Who will win the 2025 Irish election?
Who will win the 2025 Irish election?
Conor McGregor
14%
Yes
/
No
Mairead McGuinness
23%
Yes
/
No
$10,955