Cash

Trending Midterms Elections Politics Sports Culture Crypto Commodities Climate Economics Mentions Finance Tech & Science

Predict Live104 AccountSocial

MARKETS INVEST LIVE104

Product

Kalshi Pro Invest Markets Incentive program Institutions API & developers

Company

About Kalshi Research Blog Careers Policy Center Brand Kit

Help

Help Center FAQ Fee schedule Trading hours Regulatory Trust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved

Privacy Data Terms of Service Trading Prohibitions FAQ for Finance Professionals

Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

MT-01 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds & Polls: Forstag vs. Flint | Kalshi

Series Image

House

MT-01 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

Forstag

Nov 3 ·D +1.4margin forecast

Flint

$841,183 vol

Chance

Sam Forstag

Democratic party

58%

▲ 4

Sam Forstag

Democratic party

58%

▲ 4

Aaron Flint

Republican party

42%

▼ 4

Aaron Flint

Republican party

42%

▼ 4

Race Intel

MT-01 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentRyan Zinke (R)Not seeking re-election

MT-01 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors

Sam ForstagD46.8%
46.8%
$1.4M
36%
$1.4M raised·36% small donors
Aaron FlintR44.8%
44.8%
$2.6M
22%
$2.6M raised·22% small donors

Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MT-01 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +11.5%2020R +6.9%

People are also trading

Series Image

Montana Senate winner?

Series Image

Montana 01 House General Election: voter turnout

Series Image

Montana's 1st District margin of victory

Series Image

Montana Supreme Court winner?

Series Image

Montana's 1st District margin of victory

Series Image

MT-01 House election: Sam Forstag vote percent

Series Image

MT-01 House election: Aaron Flint vote percent

Series Image

MT-02 House winner?

Series Image

Which ballot measures will pass in Montana?

Series Image

Texas Senate winner?

More Montana and 2026 Midterm Races

More Montana races

Montana Senate race: Alme vs. Bodnar

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?

MT-01 House winner?

Sam Forstag

Dollars$

Odds

61% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. Paxton Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. Rogers Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins Texas Governor race: Abbott vs. Hinojosa Ohio Senate race: Brown vs. Husted Iowa Senate race: Hinson vs. Turek South Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. Andrews Kansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. Marshall Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

New York Governor race: Hochul vs. Blakeman Minnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. Tafoya North Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley Alaska Senate race Nebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. Osborn California Governor race: Becerra vs. Hilton Nevada Governor race: Ford vs. Lombardo Georgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. Collins Georgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. Jackson Massachusetts Governor race: Healey vs. Minogue